Wimbledon Picks, Odds & Prediction

 

Last Updated: 2017-06-28

Wimbledon odds and picksWimbledon begins on Monday with Roger Federer favored on the men’s side, while Karolina Pliskova is favored on the women’s side. It is all about the big four with the men, with Federer the favorite, defending champion and No. 1 seed Andy Murray the second choice, French Open winner Rafael Nadal the third choice, and three-time winner Novak Djokovic the fourth choice. It is wide open on the women’s side with Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova not playing. Pliskova is the 4-1 favorite but there are 11 players listed with odds of 20-1 or less.

Wimbledon begins on Monday, July 3 at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London, England and runs through Sunday, July 16 with Roger Federer favored on the men’s side and Karolina Pliskova favored on the women’s side.

Men’s Wimbledon Odds

Roger Federer 9-5

Andy Murray 3.5-1

Rafael Nadal 4-1

Novak Djokovic 6-1

Milos Raonic 16-1

Alexander Zverev 16-1

Marin Cilic 16-1

Nick Kyrgios 25-1

Stan Wawrinka 25-1

Grigor Dimitrov 33-1

Dominic Thiem 33-1

Juan Martin del Potro 50-1

Feliciano Lopez 50-1

Kei Nishikori 66-1

Jo-Wilfred Tsonga 66-1

Tomas Berdych 66-1

Lucas Pouille 66-1

Top Contenders

The men’s side is all about the big four. Murray is the top seed but he is not the favorite. Murray won this event in 2013 and last year but he hasn’t really played that well in 2017. He did make the semifinals of the French Open but he didn’t play well at Queen’s. He is overvalued at odds of 3.5-1 but he still has the talent to win.

The second seed is Djokovic which shows you just how screwed up the seedings are at Wimbledon as they don’t have to follow the current rankings; they can do what they want.  Djokovic has won this event three times but he has not played well in 2017, as he is in the worst slump of his career. There is no reason to think he turns things around at Wimbledon.

The third seed is Federer and he is the betting favorite. He has won Wimbledon seven times and he is in very good form. He didn’t play the French Open but looked really good in winning Halle. There is no reason to think Federer won’t win this year.

Nadal is the fourth seed and he is coming off his French Open win. He won Wimbledon in 2008 and in 2010 and he is a real threat to win again, as his form is better than either Murray or Djokovic’s.

There are no other real threats to the big four, as it is hard to see Stan Wawrinka, Alexander Zverev, Dominic Thiem, Milos Raonic or Marin Cilic winning Wimbledon this year.

Women’s Wimbledon Odds

Karolina Pliskova 4-1

Petra Kvitova 6-1

Garbine Muguruza 10-1

Johanna Konta 11-1

Venus Williams 12-1

Jelena Ostapenko 14-1

Angelique Kerber 16-1

Victoria Azarenka 16-1

Coco Vandeweghe 18-1

Simona Halep 18-1

Madison Keys 20-1

Elina Svitolina 25-1

Kristina Mladenovic 28-1

Agnieszka Radwanska 33-1

Anett Kontaveit 33-1

Ashleigh Barty 33-1

Caroline Wozniacki 33-1

Dominika Cibulkova 40-1

Ana Konjuh 50-1

Darya Kasatkina 50-1

Eugenie Bouchard 50-1

Lucie Safarova 50-1

Timea Bacsinszky 50-1

A Pavlyuchenkova 70-1

Belinda Bencic 70-1

Caroline Garcia 70-1

Ekaterina Makarova 70-1

Sabine Lisicki 70-1

Sloane Stephens 70-1

Elena Vesnina 75-1

Kristyna Pliskova 75-1

Svetlana Kuznetsova 75-1

Kiki Bertens 85-1

Top Contenders

The only two players listed at single-digit odds are Pliskov and Kvitova but it is hard to get that excited about taking either of them. Kvitova is a two-time Wimbledon champion but she said recently to the Times of India that she should not be one of the favorites. “Maybe the last tournament changed something in people’s minds but not in mine. I’m really enjoying every match but, still, I think I do have lot of things to improve.” “I showed myself that I can play five matches in six days, but now I need a bit to relax to be ready. I know how tough it is to win a grand slam, so I’m not really seeing myself as one of the favorites right now.” Kvitova is seeded No. 11 but she has the ability to win Wimbledon if she is fully healthy.

Pliskova is seeded No. 3 and she is the current betting favorite. The problem with taking her is that her best result at Wimbledon is a second round finish. Perhaps this will be her year with Williams and Sharapova not playing.

Angelique Kerber is the top-ranked player in the world but she is getting no respect in the betting at odds of 16-1. She finished second last year at Wimbledon but this year she has done nothing.  Simona Halep is ranked second in the world but her best result at Wimbledon was making the semis in 2014.

You can make a decent case for a longshot to win including Venus Williams, Johanna Konta, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Jelena Ostapenko, Garbine Muguruza, and Victoria Azarenka.

Wimbledon Predictions

I think Federer is the clear choice on the men’s side even at odds of 9-5, although I do think Nadal has some value at odds of 4-1. The women’s side is a mess, as you could make a case for 15 or 20 players. Kvitova is probably the best choice at odds of 6-1 but I will take two longshots and go with Muguruza at odds of 10-1 and Azarenka at odds of 16-1.

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