Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Broncos versus the Rockets? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. The over/under for this Mid-American conference contest is set at 155 points, with Toledo being favored by -11.5 at home against Western Michigan.


The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos +11.5

This game will be played at Savage Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Even though we have Toledo winning straight-up, we like Western Michigan at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Western Michigan Pull Off A Win at Savage Arena?

Western Michigan heads into tonight’s game against Toledo as 11.5-point underdogs. So far this season, the Broncos have gone 5-10 when considered the underdog. Their average scoring differential on the road is -8.7 points per game.

Over their last ten games, Western Michigan has gone just 2-8 on the road. In their most recent game, they lost to Central Michigan by a score of 62-55.

Western Michigan has been solid against the spread this season with a 12-7 record. Their ATS mark is even better on the road, going 6-3. As the underdog, the Broncos have gone 10-5 vs. the spread this year. In their last three games as the underdog, Western Michigan is 3-0 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Western Michigan games is 10-9. Today’s over/under line of 155 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (143.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. For the season, their games are averaging 145.8 points.

In contrast to their season average of 73.5 points per game, the Western Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 55 points against Central Michigan and had a field goal percentage of 35.6%. On the offensive front, the Broncos have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 186th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 132nd in terms of percentage and 130th in three-pointers made.

The Broncos’ defense is presently ranked 231st nationally, allowing an average of 74.9 points per contest. Against Central Michigan, the Broncos’ defense gave up 62 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Central Michigan only made 6 free-throws.

Can the Rockets Deliver Being Favored at Home?

With a two-game winning streak, Toledo will look to extend their home win streak to five games when they take on Western Michigan. So far this season, they have a home record of 8-4 compared to a road record of 5-3.

Overall, Toledo has gone 13-7 this season, and they have been the favorite in 12 of their 20 games. Their record as the favorite is 9-3, and they have an average scoring margin of +3.2 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Toledo has gone 5-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rockets have an ATS mark of 3-7. At home, Toledo is just 5-7 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Toledo is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points. For the season, the over/under record for the Rockets is 11-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 155.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 155 is right in line with the average OU line in their games this year (155.5).

The Toledo offense is coming off a game where they scored 88 points against Bowling Green. They posted a field goal percentage of 55.9% and connected on 11 threes. One area that the Toledo offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 86th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

Coming into today’s game, the Toledo defense is giving up an average of 76.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Toledo’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 48.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.1% this season.