The Broncos and Falcons are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Falcons will host the game at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 152 points, and the Falcons are favored to win at home against the Broncos.

WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos +9.5

This game will be played at Stroh Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Even though we have Bowling Green winning straight-up, we like Western Michigan at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Western Michigan Make it Happen on the Road?

Western Michigan comes into this game with a 7-10 record, including a 4-1 mark in Mid-American Conference play. So far, the Broncos have gone 2-6 on the road, and they are currently riding a two-game losing streak.

On the season, Western Michigan is averaging 71.8 points per game while allowing 80.9 points per contest. Over their last 10 road games, the Broncos have gone just 2-8, and they are 5-9 as the underdog this season.

Western Michigan has been a solid bet against the spread this season, going 10-6. Their road ATS record is 5-3 and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the underdog, the Broncos have gone 9-5 vs. the spread this year and are 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Western Michigan’s over/under record this season is 9-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 147.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

The Western Michigan offense is coming off a game where they scored 66 points against Akron. They posted a field goal percentage of 45% and connected on 8 threes. One area that the Western Michigan offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 172nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

At this time, the Broncos’ defense is positioned 253rd in the country, permitting 76.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Akron, the Zips finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 77 points vs. Western Michigan.

Can Bowling Green Pull Off a Home Win?

At home this season, Bowling Green has gone 8-2, and they have won six in a row at home. They have been favored in nine of their 17 games, and they have gone 8-1 in those games. So far, they are 13-4 overall, including a 4-1 record in Mid-American Conference play.

Coming into this game, Bowling Green has won three games in a row, and their most recent game was a 78-73 victory over Miami (OH). Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2, and their average scoring margin at home is +8.9 points per game.

As the favorite, Bowling Green has gone just 5-4 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-4, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons are 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Bowling Green is 9-6 and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average OU line in their games (146.9). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

In their most recent game, the Falcons’ offense tallied 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Marcus Hill, who is averaging 20.1 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Rashaun Agee also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 heading into game.

At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 106th, allowing 69.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Bowling Green’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.1% this season.