The Hilltoppers and Miners are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Miners will host the game at Don Haskins Center in El Paso, TX. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 151 points, and the Miners are favored to win at home against the Hilltoppers.
WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS VS UTEP MINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UTEP Miners -1.5
This game will be played at Don Haskins Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE UTEP MINERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Miners.
- Not only will UTEP pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Does Western Kentucky Have What it Takes on the Road?
Western Kentucky heads into this game with a 13-5 record, including a 2-2 record in Conference USA games. The Hilltoppers have gone 11-3 in non-conference games compared to a 5-3 record on the road.
As the underdog, Western Kentucky has gone 4-3 this season, and they come into this game with a two-game losing streak on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.9 points per game.
As the underdog, Western Kentucky has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 5-2. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-2 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hilltoppers are 6-4 vs. the spread.
Western Kentucky’s over/under record for the season sits at 5-10 and the average scoring total in their games is currently 149 points. Today’s over/under line of 151 is just slightly higher than the average over/under line in their games of 150.3. So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line and over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points.
In their latest game, Western Kentucky offense put up 70 points against New Mexico State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Donald McHenry, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.5, while Brandon Newman also maintains a PPG average of 10.8 leading up to the game.
Currently, the Hilltoppers’ defense holds the 193rd rank in the nation, allowing 73.2 points per game. Western Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 58th in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.4% of their shots vs. Western Kentucky.
Will the Miners Come Through as Home Favorites?
UTEP enters this game as a 1.5-point favorite, and they are 7-1 this season when favored. The Miners are 7-3 at home this season, and they have won two straight games at home. UTEP’s average scoring margin at home this season is +3.6 points per game.
Overall, UTEP is 10-8 this season, and they have gone 1-2 in Conference USA games. In non-conference action, the Miners went 9-6. Their most recent game was a 73-59 win over Middle Tennessee.
UTEP has not been a great bet this season, going just 3-11-1 against the spread. They are 3-6-1 ATS at home this year and have gone just 2-6-1 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Miners have gone 3-5 vs. the spread this season and are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
So far this season, the over/under record for UTEP games is 6-9 and today’s line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.
The Miners’ offense wrapped up their last game with 73 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.6 points per contest. Coming into the game, the Miners offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 17.3 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 18.1 made free-throws.
At this time, the Miners’ defense is positioned 99th in the country, permitting 68.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UTEP’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.7% this season.