Betting on today’s Hilltoppers and Blue Raiders game? Catch the action at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN, as the Blue Raiders hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. Western Kentucky is favored by -3.5 in this Conference USA conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 149.5 points.

WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3.5

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 7:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
  • Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can Western Kentucky Lock in a Road Win?

Western Kentucky has been a solid road team this season, going 7-4 on the road compared to 9-3 at home. The Hilltoppers have won their last two road games and are 7-3 in their last 10.

So far, Western Kentucky has been favored in 13 games, going 10-3 in those contests. Overall, the Hilltoppers have won five straight games and have a record of 19-7 this season.

As the favorite, Western Kentucky has gone 8-5 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hilltoppers have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road, Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 8-3 this year and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Western Kentucky’s over/under record this season is 10-13 and today’s line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, which is lower than their season average of 152.4 points per game. So far this year, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line.

Against New Mexico State, the Western Kentucky had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 80.3 points per game. They scored 72 points and posted a field goal percentage of 46.4% in the game. For the season, the Western Kentucky offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.7 made three’s per contest.

Coming into today’s game, the Western Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 73.8 points per contest. Western Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 102nd in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.2% of their shots vs. Western Kentucky.

Do the Blue Raiders Have a Shot at a Home Win?

After a 76-68 loss to Jacksonville State, Middle Tennessee State is 11-16 overall and 4-7 in Conference USA. At home, the Blue Raiders are 7-6, and they have won three straight games at home.

For the season, Middle Tennessee State has been the underdog in 12 of its 27 games, going 1-11 in those matchups. The Blue Raiders are 7-5 when favored, and they have an average scoring margin of +1.8 at home.

As the underdog this season, Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of just 1-11. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 7-17. However, they have been better vs. the spread at home, going 6-7. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Blue Raiders have a 1-9 ATS record.

So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 9-13-2, and today’s line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (134.2). This year, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.

The Middle Tennessee offense is coming off a game where they scored 68 points against Jacksonville State. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.1% and connected on 12 threes. Jared Coleman-Jones led the team in scoring, putting up 19 points. Additionally, Justin Bufford contributed 12 points for the Blue Raiders.

So far, the Blue Raiders’ defense is ranked 101st in the country at 69.2 points per contest. Middle Tennessee’s three-point defense is currently 20th in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.1% of their shots vs. Middle Tennessee.