Western Kentucky at Arkansas College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Arkansas Razorbacks are ready to square off on the turf at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. The afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on SEC Network.

Western Kentucky vs. Arkansas Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Arkansas is giving up 3 points in this matchup. The Hilltoppers are currently being given +120 moneyline odds while the Razorbacks are -140. This game will probably have several live betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 51 points.

The Hilltoppers are 5-4 straight up (SU) while the Razorbacks are 2-7 SU. The Hilltoppers have gained 0.8 units so far and are 6-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-5.

The Razorbacks have lost 3.0 units this season. They’re 2-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-6.

The Hilltoppers are most-recently on the rebound after a 35-24 defeat to Florida Atlantic last week. Ty Storey completed 32 passes for 380 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Gaej Walker (53 yards on 14 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Storey (-6 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss. Lucky Jackson (nine receptions, 194 yards, one TD) and Jacquez Sloan (six catches, 51 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Back on November 2, Mississippi State knocked off this Arkansas team by a score of 54-24. The Razorbacks defense let the Bulldogs run for 460 yards on 57 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Kylin Hill was a force to be reckoned with, putting up 234 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 21 attempts for Mississippi State. As a group, the Razorbacks collectively completed nine-of-24 passes for 101 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Ben Hicks went four-for-13 for 44 yards and one interception while John Stephen Jones was four-of-nine for 25 yards and one touchdown. Rakeem Boyd (114 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Tyson Morris (two receptions, 18 yards) and Mike Woods (two catches, 15 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps.

When glancing at offensive play selection, each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Western Kentucky’s run the ball on 47.7 percent of its offensive possessions while Arkansas has a rush percentage of 46.0. The Hilltoppers have run for 108 yards per game and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Razorbacks are putting up 137 rushing yards per contest and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Hilltoppers have averaged 253 yards through the air overall and have 13 passing TDs so far. The Razorbacks have recorded 218 pass yards per outing and have 11 total pass scores.

Defensively, Western Kentucky appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 126 yards and pass for 192 yards per game. Arkansas has allowed 221.0 rushing yards per game and 222.2 to opponents in the air. The Hilltoppers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.41 to opponents, while the Razorbacks have given up a 7.59 ANY/A.

Storey has amassed 1,185 passing yards this season. He’s completed 110-of-159 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Storey has a 6.25 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.10 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, John Stephen Jones has put up 25 yards, one TD and zero INTs. Jones’ ANY/A sits at a mediocre 5.00 for the year and 6.29 over his past two games.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Prediction

SU Winner – Western Kentucky, ATS Winner – Western Kentucky, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Hilltoppers offense has tallied nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Razorbacks have put up six such plays.

The Western Kentucky defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arkansas has given up seven such plays.

The Western Kentucky offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Arkansas has created 10 such runs.

The Hilltoppers defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Razorbacks have given up 27 such runs.

The Arkansas D has tallied 18 sacks on the year while Western Kentucky has 17.

As a team, Western Kentucky has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.0 over its last two.

Arkansas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.3 over its past two.

Arkansas has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a 21-point win over Colorado State on September 14th representing its only victory over that stretch.

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