The Leathernecks and Tigers are set to face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Tigers will host the game at Gentry Center in Nashville, TN. The odds for this Ohio Valley conference game currently have Tennessee State as the -2 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 131.5 points.

WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS VS TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers -2

This game will be played at Gentry Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Western Illinois Have A Chance at Gentry Center?

Western Illinois is 9-6 on the road this season, and they have won their last three games away from home. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 in their last five.

As the underdog, the Leathernecks are 4-7 this season, and they have been the underdog in 11 of their 26 games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -2.7 points per game, and they are 16-10 overall.

Western Illinois has been a solid bet this season, going 12-10 against the spread. They have been even better on the road, posting a 10-5 ATS mark. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Leathernecks are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Western Illinois’ over/under record this season is 5-16-1 and their games have averaged 132.3 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (138.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 120 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

Coming off their recent game, the Western Illinois offense tallied 62 points in a matchup against Tennessee Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.3%, and they made 5 threes. One area that the Western Illinois offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 162nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.

So far, the Leathernecks’ defense is ranked 23rd in the country at 64.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Tennessee Tech, the Golden Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 55 points vs. Western Illinois.

Is It the Tigers Game to Lose at Home?

So far this season, Tennessee State has gone 5-3 at home, and they are 8-5 when favored. Over their last 10 games at home, the Tigers have gone 7-3.

Coming into this game, Tennessee State has an overall record of 15-11, and they are 8-5 in Ohio Valley Conference games. Their average scoring margin at home this year is +3.5, and they are 8-5 when favored.

As the favorite this year, Tennessee State has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 6-4 ATS. At home this season, Tennessee State has an ATS record of 4-4. Over their last three home games, the Tigers are 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Tennessee State games is 9-13. Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (145.1). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points.

Compared to their season average of 73.1 points per game, Tennessee State struggled in their previous game. Against Tennessee Tech, the Tigers scored 50 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37%. EJ Bellinger is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 11.9. Meanwhile, Christian Brown also brings a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 121st in the country at 70.2 points per contest. The Tennessee State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed Tennessee Tech to connect on 4 threes.