Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Leathernecks versus the Redhawks? Tip off is at at 4:45 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Show Me Center in Cape Girardeau, MO. In this Ohio Valley matchup, Western Illinois is favored by -4 vs. Southeast Missouri State. The over/under for the game is 132 points.
WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS VS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE REDHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +4
This game will be played at Show Me Center at 4:45 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE REDHAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Redhawks.
- Not only will Southeast Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can the Leathernecks Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Western Illinois has been solid on the road this season, going 7-6 compared to their 3-2 mark at home. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Leathernecks are 7-3.
For the season, Western Illinois is 6-1 when favored, and they are 14-8 overall. They have won four of their last five games on the road, and they come into this matchup after a 79-71 win over Lindenwood.
As the favorite this season, Western Illinois has an ATS record of 5-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Leathernecks are 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Western Illinois has an ATS mark of 8-5 this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three road contests.
Western Illinois’ over/under record for the season is 5-13 and today’s line of 132 is lower than their average over/under line of 138.6. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 134 points.
Western Illinois recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 79 points against Lindenwood. This output exceeded their season average of 70.2 points per game. On the offensive front, the Leathernecks have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 239th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 95th in terms of percentage and 308th in three-pointers made.
The Leathernecks’ defense is presently ranked 41st nationally, allowing an average of 65.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Lindenwood, the Lions finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 71 points vs. Western Illinois.
Will Southeast Missouri State Come Through as Home Underdogs?
So far this season, Southeast Missouri State has struggled to a 7-15 record, including a 2-7 mark in Ohio Valley Conference play. The Redhawks have lost three straight games, and they are 1-13 as underdogs this season.
Coming into today’s game, Southeast Missouri State has a record of 3-4 at home this season, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. They are also 2-1 in their last three games at home.
At home this season, Southeast Missouri State has an ATS record of 2-5 and an overall ATS mark of 5-13. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Redhawks have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Southeast Missouri State games is 6-12 and today’s line of 132 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.6). In their last three games, the average scoring total is just 126 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 2-7.
Most recently, the Southeast Missouri State offense finished with just 54 points vs. Lindenwood. For the game, they hit 1/10 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.5%. Josh Earley led the team in scoring, putting up 19 points. Additionally, Aquan Smart contributed 11 points for the Redhawks.
In terms of defense, Southeast Missouri State is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.6 points per game. Southeast Missouri State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Lindenwood to just 35% shooting in their most recent game.