Week 9 CFL Pick & Prediction: Toronto at Calgary

 

Last Updated: 2017-08-30

The Toronto Argonauts visit the Calgary Stampeders in the final CFL game of the week tonight, where the Stampeders are favored by 10 and the total on the game is at 54.5. The two teams have been the best two in terms of yardage allowed, but Calgary has a much more efficient offense, which is they are 6-1-1 and the Argonauts are 4-5, but they are leading the East Division. All five teams in the West have a better record than Toronto, something that will likely come to light when the playoffs start and the CFL’s crossover rules come into effect.

The Argonauts are led by 37-year-old Ricky Ray at quarterback and he’s having another solid season, ranking second in passing yards. He did struggle a little bit in the first meeting of the year between the two teams, throwing for less than 200 yards and an interception in Calgary’s 41-24 victory in Toronto.

Although the Argonauts are 4-5, although all of their wins have come against the much-weaker East Division. The Argonauts are just 1-3 on the road this season and have dropped the last five games to the Stampeders. The Argonauts scored 21.7 points on the road and allow 29.7.

Calgary is 3-0-1 at home and have lost at McMahon Stadium since 2015. The team typically plays some its best football in August, going 8-2 ATS over the past three years and 47-27 against the number dating back to 1996.

The Stampeders are averaging more than 40 points in front of the home fans and surrendering just 16.7, so the Stampeders have a definitive home field advantage. Overall, Calgary is leading the league in scoring, so something will have to give against Toronto’s defense, which has been better than several previous editions of the Argonauts.

Bo Levi Mitchell struggled for Calgary last week, having his second-lowest completion percentage and is struggling a little bit with a sore arm, but will get the start tonight.

My numbers made this one 43-15 in favor of the Stampeders and I’ll have to agree and lay the points, although I’ve never been a big fan of laying so many points regardless of the league involved. Calgary can’t afford to take it easy, as Edmonton and Winnipeg are both 7-2, so a victory will give them a half-game lead in the West standings. Toronto has a one-game lead in the East and that division will be settled when those teams meet each other, so the game isn’t quite as important for the Argonauts.

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