Week 15 Free Pick: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Sunday, 12/16/2018 at 04:25 pm NEW ENGLAND (9-4) at PITTSBURGH (7-5)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
327NEW ENGLAND 54 28 22.5 9-4 8-5-0 5-8-0 118.2 278.8 397 113.1 259.5 372.6
328PITTSBURGH +2 28.2 23.5 7-5 6-6-1 7-6-0 89 319.1 408.1 96.9 234.2 331.1

Last Updated: 2018-12-16

The New England Patriots (-2.5) are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field. CBS will broadcast the action and this important late afternoon matchup is scheduled to get going at 4:25 p.m. ET.

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds

New England is giving up 1.5 points in this AFC matchup. The Patriots are currently receiving -125 moneyline odds while the Steelers are +105. This AFC game will likely have some in-game betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 52.5 points.

This game’s opening line was 1, while the total has yet to change after it was initially set at 52.5.

The Patriots are 9-4 straight up (SU) while the Steelers are 7-5-1 SU. The Patriots are 8-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.6 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 5-8.

The Steelers have lost 3.8 units this season. They’re 6-6-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-6.

The Patriots came up short to Miami 34-33 in a Week 14 game where Tom Brady completed 27-of-43 passes for 358 yards and three touchdowns. Sony Michel (only 57 yards on 20 rushes) propelled the running attack in the loss while Julian Edelman (nine receptions, 86 yards, one TD) and Rob Gronkowski (eight catches, 107 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

In Week 14, Oakland knocked off this Pittsburgh crew by a score of 24-21. The Steelers defensive secondary let the Raiders air it out for 322 yards and two touchdowns. Jared Cook put up a productive showing, recording 116 yards on seven catches for Oakland. As a group, the Steelers collectively completed 29-of-38 passes for 306 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Ben Roethlisberger went 25-for-29 for 282 yards and two touchdowns while Joshua Dobbs was four-of-nine for 24 yards and one interception. Jaylen Samuels (28 yards on 11 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while JuJu Smith-Schuster (eight receptions, 130 yards, two TDs) and Samuels (seven catches, 64 yards) led the receiving attack.

New England has run the ball on 44.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has an overall rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Patriots have produced 118 rush yards per game and have 16 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Steelers are logging 89 rush yards per contest and have 16 total rushing TDs.

The Pats have averaged 288 yards in the air overall and have 23 passing scores so far. The Steelers have recorded 329 pass yards per outing and have 29 total pass TDs.

New England has allowed opponents to run for an average of 113 yards and pass for 274 yards per game. Pittsburgh has been a bit better than that, giving up 96.9 yards per game on the ground and 257.2 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Pats have given up an ANY/A of 6.20 to opposing QBs, while the Steelers are yielding an ANY/A of 6.40.

Roethlisberger has put up 3,946 yards, 26 TDs and 12 INTs for Pittsburgh. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.36 for the season and 7.66 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Brady has put up 3,389 passing yards this season, and has connected on 289-of-445 attempts with 22 passing touchdowns and only seven interceptions. Brady has a 7.32 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 8.96 over the past two outings.

When these two squads faced one another a year ago, New England knocked Pittsburgh off by a field goal 27-24.

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers Free NFL Tip

SU Winner – Steelers, ATS Winner – Steelers, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The O/U for New England’s last game was set at 49.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-33 loss to Miami.

As a team, New England has produced 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 2.9 over its last two.

The Pittsburgh offense has lost seven fumbles this season while New England has lost six.

Over its last three matches, New England is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Pittsburgh’s last game was set at 51. The under cashed in the 24-21 defeat to Oakland.

In its last three games, Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Patriots offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Steelers have put up 12 such plays.

The New England defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Pittsburgh has given up five such plays.

The New England offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Pittsburgh has created nine such runs.

The Patriots defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Steelers have given up eight such runs.

The Pittsburgh D has registered 45 sacks on the year while New England has just 24.

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