Week 14 CFL Pick & Prediction: Calgary at Saskatchewan

 

Last Updated: 2017-09-24

We fell to 18-13 in the Canadian Football League on Friday, taking the collar, as my post Hurricane Irma selections have been horrible in all sports, but looking to get things headed back in the right direction today.

There’s just one game in the CFL this Sunday, as the NFL will naturally take center stage, along with the baseball pennant races and even the WNBA Finals will likely draw more interest, but still it’s a decent game between the Calgary Stampeders and Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Stampeders are favored by 6.5 and the total on the game is 54.5. A few 7s are starting to pop up Sunday morning and more may appear as we get closer to game time.

The Stampeders have owned the Roughriders in recent years, having captured the last nine games over the ‘Riders. Some of them have been close, while others have been a bit lopsided, including this season’s 27-10 victory in Calgary, as Saskatchewan was held to just 38 yards rushing and 182 yards passing. Calgary made the only turnover in the game, but gained nearly 400 yards and had little trouble, racing out to a 17-0 halftime lead and then playing on even terms in the second half.

One reason for Calgary’s dominance over the Roughriders lately has been their ability to run the ball, something you don’t always see a lot of in the three-down CFL. The Stampeders have gained 130 or more yards in four of the last five games, which has helped them in the time of possession battle and a CFL team that can move the ball on the ground has a distinct advantage over one that doesn’t.

The Roughriders have been playing much better of late, winning four of their last five games, and have given themselves a chance to make the playoffs, even though they are in fourth place in the West. Saskatchewan is 4-1 at home this season and won’t be a pushover in this spot, although it’s hard to buck the best team in the CFL and one who has dominated an opponent quite like the Stampeders have.

Calgary is leading the CFL with a 10-1-1 record, holding a three-point lead over 9-3 Winnipeg, while the next closest team is Edmonton with a 7-5 record and 14 points. With Montreal on tap, the Stampeders could be peeking ahead slightly, as the Alouettes pulled off the upset the first time they met, handing Calgary its lone loss of the season.

My numbers are calling for a fairly close game, having Calgary win 26-23, but I’ll grab the under 54.5 and hope the Stampeders have a bit more success on the ground and keep the clock moving.

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