Week 11 CFL Pick & Prediction: Toronto at Hamilton

 

Last Updated: 2017-09-04

We improved to 17-11-1 in the CFL when Ottawa and Montreal stayed under the total in the first game of the week and now we’ll jump to the final game of the week, as the Toronto Argonauts travel to Hamilton to face the Tiger-Cats. Toronto is favored by 4.5 and the total is 53.

The Argonauts are 4-6 but right in the hunt for a division title, thanks to playing in the East Division, where Ottawa is in first place with a 4-6-1 record. All five teams in the West have a better record than Ottawa. The Argonauts are averaging 18.8 points and allowing 28 on the road, where they have gone 1-4 straight-up and against the spread. The Argonauts are 4-1 straight-up against the division and have gone under the total in all five division games so far this season.

Neither team has done much against the spread this season, with Toronto going 3-7 ATS and Hamilton sporting a 2-6 ATS mark.

The Tiger-Cats are coming off a bye week and will look quite a bit differently than they did last time they took the field, as June Jones makes his CFL head coaching debut after Vice President of Football Operations Kent Austin stepped down and Jones, who was assistant head coach, was promoted.

The Tiger-Cats have also made a quarterback change, as former Oregon Duck Jeremiah Masoli gets the nod in place of Zach Collaros. Masoli replaced Collaros in the third quarter of the team’s last game against Ottawa.

The Tiger-Cats have dropped eight straight home games dating back to last season and they’re 0-4 straight-up and 1-3 ATS at home this season, scoring 21 points per game, but allowing 37, while going 3-1 in totals.

The Argonauts cruised to a 32-15 victory the first meeting between the two this season, throwing for 485 yards, while breaking open a close game at the half with a 17-3 second-half scoring advantage.

While Hamilton is still looking for its first win of the season, the Tiger-Cats probably aren’t quite as bad as their record suggests, as they’ve only played two games against the East Division and the other six have come against the much-tougher West, so the Tiger-Cats get a nod in strength of schedule.

My numbers actually have the Tiger-Cats winning the game, so will have to take the points with the home underdog in this Labor Day affair.

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Power LinesView all

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Edge On: WINNIPEG 14Bet Now
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