Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons Betting Pick 12/26/19

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The Detroit Pistons (11-20), who are currently riding a five-game losing streak, look to get back in the win column when they welcome the Washington Wizards (9-20) to Little Caesars Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 231 points with Detroit opening as a 6-point favorite. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 26, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons ATS Preview

In the Wizards’ last game, they beat the New York Knicks, 121-115, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. With 26 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, Washington’s Troy Brown played well. Washington played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 6.6 (better than their season average of 11.7) and a free throw rate of 0.170 (matching their season average). New York was 12.3 and 0.129, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 236 points, which was over the O/U total of 227.

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The Pistons failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs in their 125-109 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last contest. Andre Drummond was Detroit’s high scorer with 27 points on 13-for-16 shooting. Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.5 (above their season average of 23.5). Detroit, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of making free throws (13-18; 72.2 percent). The two squads collectively scored 234 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 215.5.

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Wizards winning both. In the most recent contest, Bradley Beal scored a game-high 35 points and the Wizards defeated the Pistons 133-119, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. He also put up 10 assists. The two teams combined for 252 points, which was 19.5 points above the projected point total of 232.5 points. Washington’s 0.659 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.552.

Of Washington’s 29 games, 17 have finished over the O/U total, while 17 of Detroit’s 31 games have finished over the O/U total. The Pistons have the superior straight up (SU) record (11-20 vs. 9-20), but the Wizards hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (16-13 vs. 11-18-2).

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Detroit should have a significant advantage. The upper-echelon Pistons offense ranks sixth in the league in that metric at 0.539, while the Washington defense is ranked 30th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.564). This contest should be a showdown of conflicting paces. The fast-breaking Wizards rank fifth in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Pistons rank 25th.

Washington Wizards vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Pistons rank ninth in points in the paint per game (48.3) while the Wizards rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.6).

Detroit ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.8) while Washington ranks 28th (4.0).

Detroit ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.7) while Washington ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).

On the road, Washington is 11-7 ATS with 11 overs and 7 unders.

Detroit is 7-10 ATS at home with 11 overs, 5 unders and 1 push.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Detroit is 4-0 and Washington is 2-0.

In games where they reach the century mark, the Pistons are 10-15 and the Wizards are 8-20.

The Pistons rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.3) while the Wizards rank 14th (33.4).

Washington averages 27.3 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. Detroit ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.1).

The Pistons rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.4) while the Wizards rank 24th (46.4).

The Wizards rank 18th in steals per game (7.5) while the Pistons rank 21st in steals allowed per game (8.3).

Washington ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Detroit ranks 25th (15.5).

Bettings Trends:

Detroit is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its last five games, Washington is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 15.2, up from 2.3 for the season.

During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.2 points per game (3.5 below their season average).

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