Washington State at California College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

The Washington State Cougars (-7.5) are heading south to take on their Pac-12 rival California Golden Bears at California Memorial Stadium. Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to televise the action and kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET.

Washington State at California Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Washington State is giving up 7.5 points in this Pac-12 game. The Cougars are currently being given -330 moneyline odds while the Golden Bears are +250. The over/under has been set at 51 points, and if one team can create a bunch of points early, it’ll probably create a nice live betting opportunity.

The line opened at 7. The game’s total hasn’t changed since it opened at 51.

The Cougars are 4-4 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Bears are 4-4 SU overall and 1-4 SU in conference play. The less-than-stellar Cougars are down 16.6 units so far in 2019 and 3-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Golden Bears have gained 0.7 units this season. The team is 3-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-7.

The Cougars are looking to get back on track after a narrow 37-35 loss to Oregon on October 26 where Anthony Gordon completed 32-of-50 passes for 406 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Max Borghi (54 yards on eight rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. Brandon Arconado (nine receptions, 130 yards, two TDs) and Borghi (eight catches, 70 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

A couple of weeks ago, Utah blanked this California crew by a score of 35-0. The Golden Bears defensive unit allowed the Utes to run for 231 yards on 50 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Zack Moss torched the defense, putting up 115 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts, along with 89 yards on three catches for Utah. For California, Spencer Brasch completed seven-of-19 passes for 47 yards. Christopher Brown Jr. (24 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the running attack as Jordan Duncan (two receptions, 16 yards) and Ben Skinner (two catches, 15 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Washington State’s run the ball on 24.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while California has an overall rush percentage of 57.9 percent. The Cougars have run for 86 yards per game (including 82 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Golden Bears are averaging 117 rush yards per contest (99 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Cougars should have an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has allowed only 13 sacks while the D-line logged 38 sacks. The Golden Bears O-line has allowed 36 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 31 times.

The Cougars have averaged a stellar 436 yards through the air overall (413 per game against conference opposition) and have 34 passing TDs so far. The Golden Bears have put up 177 pass yards per game (135.2 against Pac-12 competition) and have 10 total pass scores.

Defensively, Washington State has let opponents run for an average of 193 yards and throw for 257 yards per game. California has been a bit better than that, giving up 160.6 yards per game on the ground and 213.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Golden Bears are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.5 to opposing QBs, while the Cougars have allowed a 7.09 ANY/A.

Gordon has already amassed 3,018 pass yards on the year, and has completed 243-of-346 attempts with 28 passing touchdowns and only eight interceptions. Gordon’s got an 8.99 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.39 over the last two outings.

Devon Modster has accounted for 380 yards, two TDs and three INTs for California. His ANY/A stands at a very poor 2.49 for the season and 4.06 over his last two outings.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Washington State knocked California off by a pair of field goals 19-13.

Washington State Cougars at California Golden Bears Free Pick

SU Winner – Washington State, ATS Winner – Washington State, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The California offense has lost three fumbles this season while Washington State has lost four.

The California defense has registered 20 sacks on the year while Washington State has 17.

As a team, Washington State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.8 over its last two.

California has averaged 2.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.0 over its last two.

In its last three matches, California is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Washington State’s last game was set at 67.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-35 defeat to Oregon.

In its last three contests, Washington State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for California’s last matchup going into it was 37. The under cashed in the 35-0 loss to Utah.

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