Last Updated: 2018-01-05
For a team that was supposed to challenge for the NFC East and a playoff spot, the 2-13 Giants sure did soil the sheets. The same can be said about the 7-8 Washington Redskins although to a much lesser extent. The Giants have fallen well short of their projected season wins total of 9 while the Redskins can still edge over their projected total of 7.5 with a win in Week 17.
Things began to go sideways for the Giants right out of the gate. They lost their first 5 games before they went into Denver and pulled out a win against the equally disappointing Broncos. The GMen haven’t just let down their fans but their backers as well with their 6-9 ATS record. They still haven’t beaten an NFC team yet this year and have just 1 win at home.
The Redskins at least have a shot at finishing 8-8. They have won their last two straight both SU and ATS but this mini-streak comes way too late in the season. With the exceptions of a Week 2 victory over the Rams and their Week 9 upset of the Seahawks, the Redskins have not been able to beat winning teams although they are 5-0 against teams with losing records including a 20-10 victory over the Giants in Week 12. The Skins won and covered in New York last year but they are just 2-7 SU and 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 visits. They won’t have a better chance at improving on those stats than they will in Week 17.
Redskins at Giants
Spread: Washington Redskins -3 (-105), New York Giants +3 (-115) at 5Dimes Sportsbook
Moneyline: Washington Redskins -152, New York Giants +132
Total: Over 37.5 (-110), Under 37.5 (-110)
They’ve been out of the playoff picture for a few weeks but the Redskins have at least been playing decent football. While beating teams like Denver and Arizona aren’t anything to brag about, the fact is that they put forth enough of an effort to do so. We should probably expect a decent effort out of them against a Giants team that is down and out. Kirk Cousins is coming off a good outing in which he completed 19 of 37 passes for 299 yards and three touchdowns against one interception. He made a few long connections including a 48-yard touchdown pass to Josh Doctson and a 31-yard scoring play to Vernon Davis. He should be able to add to his stats against a Giants pass defense that allows 260 passing yards per game and 7.7 yards per completion. The Giants have been prone to giving up big plays too.
Washington’s rushing attack is led by Perine who ran for 53 yards on 11 carries in Week 16 while Bibbs contributed with 26 yards on 7 carries. Like their pass defense, the GMen’s rush defense is pretty weak. They give up an average of 125.7 yards per game on the ground at a rate of 4.4 yards per attempt. The Redskins will be able to move the ball any way they choose although I expect them to feature the pass attack.
Z. Brown (Foot), R. Anderson (Knee), M. Harris (Back), and Z. Hood (Elbow) are questionable.
New York Giants
There was a bit of hope that the firing of Ben McAdoo would shake things up for the better but the Giants have continued to lose although they managed to give the Eagles a run for the money in Week 15. Then they proceeded to roll over in Arizona where they got skunked 23-0. In that game, Eli Manning completed 27 of 45 passes for 263 yards but he failed to toss a touchdown pass and he threw a pair of picks. Tight end Rhett Ellison led all receivers with 60 yards on 4 receptions but no other receiver reached the 50-yard plateau. It could be tough to have success through the air against Washington as they give up about 219 passing yards at a rate of 7.1 yards per completion.
It’s no secret that the Giants have a very poor running game but they might be in a good position to succeed against a Redskins rushing defense that allows the fourth-most yards per game and an average carry of 4.4 yards against. Still, the GMen are a team that relies on the passing game so we should expect Eli to be very busy in this one.
R. Okwara (Knee), B. Goodson (Ankle), T. King (Concussion), L. Collins (Forearm), S. Shepard (Neck), E. Engram (Ribs), and W. Richburg (Concussion) are questionable.
Redskins at Giants Betting Lines
This game opened with Washington being favored by 3.5 points but that spread has come down to -3 at most books. This could easily go up to -3.5 again but I expect that it would be pounded back to -3 which is where I expect the spread to be, come kickoff. There hasn’t been much movement on the moneyline which opened at Washington -159. It now sits anywhere between -150 and -160 depending on where you look. There has been movement on the total which opened at 40. It is now hovering around 37.5 at most books although it can be found a half point either way at some books. It doesn’t look like the bookmakers foresee a lot of scoring. Neither do I.
My Pick: Washington Redskins -3 (-105)
Total: Under 37.5 (-110)
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