Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick 08/22/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals are set to square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can catch it on ATPT and MASN.

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Pittsburgh (getting +180 odds) is coming into this contest as the big underdog to Washington and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. There’s a runline of Nationals -1.5 (-135) and Pirates +1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Nationals are 69-57 SU and have gone 69-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 9.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 52-74 SU and 60-65 ATS. They’ve lost 11.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.9 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 70-49-6 in 2019. Nationals games have gone under 61 times, gone over 58 times and pushed on six instances.

Right-hander Max Scherzer will get the start for the visiting Nationals. Scherzer is 9-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 189 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates will be sending lefty Steven Brault (3-2, 4.06 ERA) to the mound. Brault has 70 punchouts and 37 walks to his name as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Brault has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.32 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

Pittsburgh’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .174/.251/.245 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielder Starling Marte and first baseman Josh Bell have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .289/.332/.502 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs, 85 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Bell’s line is .280/.365/.579 with 31 homers, 99 RBIs and 84 runs.

For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

The Nationals offense has slashed .262/.342/.452 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 9.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 11.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton continue to lead Washington’s hitters. Rendon is hitting .323/.402/.607 with 27 home runs, 100 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Eaton is slashing .291/.377/.438 with 11 homers, 40 RBIs, 86 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Nationals have lost 4.5 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.9 units and are 47-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Washington’s last seven games.

The Nationals have a total OPS of .794 this season, including an OPS of .821 against left-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .743 overall and .635 against southpaws.

The Nationals have won three of their last four games SU.

Washington fielders have committed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.

The Nationals have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games, including 17 over their last five.

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