The MLB betting action continues Monday, May 30, 2022, with a 13-game card, including the NL East battle at Citi Field in New York, so here’s the best Nationals vs. Mets betting pick along with the latest odds update on Bovada Sportsbook.
Washington and New York open a three-game set with Game 8 of their 19-game NL East regular-season series. The Mets are -171 moneyline favorites to grab their sixth win over the Nats in 2022.
The Nats won four of their last five games
The Washington Nationals are coming off a 3-1 series win to Colorado. They outscored the Rockies 28-18, showing signs of life at the plate after some disappointing displays in the second half of May. The Nats beat the Rockies 6-5 in Sunday’s closer and improve to 18-31 on the season.
Washington owns the second-worst record in the National League. The Nationals’ pitching staff holds the third-highest ERA (4.94) and second-highest FIP in the majors (4.47), while their offense is scoring 4.06 runs per game (tied-20th in the MLB) on a .254/.319/.368 slash line (.239/.310/.384 league average).
Erick Fedde will get the nod Monday at Citi Field. He met the Mets in the opening week, pitching five innings of a two-run ball in a no-decision. The 29-year-old righty has been outstanding over his five starts in May (27.2 IP), posting a 1.95 ERA and a .208 batting average against. Fedde carries a 3-3 record, 3.55 ERA, and 1.38 WHIP into his second date with the Mets in 2022.
The Mets are the best team in the NL East
At the time of writing, the 31-17 New York Mets looked to sweep a three-game home series against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Metsies were topping the NL East, eight games above the reigning champions, the Atlanta Braves.
New York has gone 7-3 over its previous ten contests. The Mets boast the third-highest scoring offense in the majors, tallying 4.96 runs per contest. Their pitching staff holds a serviceable 3.75 ERA (13th in the MLB) and 1.18 WHIP (7th).
David Peterson will get the starting call Monday, his fifth in 2022. The 26-year-old lefty has emerged victorious in his previous two starts, allowing six runs (five earned) across 11 innings. Peterson owns a strong 2.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 25 frames of work this season. He’s 2-0 in three career starts against Washington.
- 5-13 in the last 18 games against the Mets
- 7-3 in the last ten games overall
- 9-2 in the last 11 home games against Washington
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Pick
Eric Fedde shut down the mighty Dodgers through six innings last time out. I don’t trust him to put together two strong displays because the current Mets are slashing .305/.377/.377 in 121 at-bats against Fedde. Pete Alonso is 6-for-14 with a couple of doubles and four walks, Jeff McNeil is 6-for-14 with a double, while Francisco Lindor has three hits and a home run in 12 at-bats versus the Nats’ righty.
On the other side, the current Nats have three hits in 20 at-bats against David Peterson. Washington’s bullpen has recorded a 3.21 ERA and 4.91 xFIP in the last ten days, while the Mets ‘pen has accounted for a 3.89 ERA and 3.35 xFIP. The Nationals will stand a chance only if their offense jumps on Peterson early.
Pick: Take New York Mets at -171
The Nationals bullpen’s xFIP over the last ten days suggests regression, and Washington’s relievers are striking out only 8.47 per nine frames. Six of the Nats’ last eight games have produced runs in double digits, so give me the over on the totals.
On the other side, the over is 8-2 in the Mets’ previous ten contests. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between the Mets and Nats, but I’m expecting a high-scoring affair this time around because both lineups have hit the ball well lately.
Pick: Go over 8.5 runs at -110