Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals (44-61, 24-28 away) against Justin Verlander and the Mets (49-55, 25-23 home). Today will be game four of their series, with the Mets leading 2-1. Check out who see coming out on top in today’s Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets matchup.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 30th.
WHY BET THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS:
- The Nationals will be taking on a Mets club that is just 2-3 vs. the runline over their last five games.
- Over their last three games on the road, Washington is 2-1 against the runline.
- In Trevor Williams’ five most recent starts, the Nationals are 2-1.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Washington’s overall record currently stands at 44-61, placing them 5th in the NL East. The Nationals will look to extend their current series winning streak to 34 and have an overall series record of 11-20-2. At home, Washington is 20-33 and 24-28 on the road.
Trevor Williams will make his 22nd appearance of the season today, with a 5-5 record to show for it. His ERA is at 4.47 and opponents are batting .330 against him. He has struck out 77 batters and his WHIP stands at 1.44. On the road, Williams’ ERA is 4.65, while it’s 4.46 when he’s pitching in front of the home crowd.
Trevor Williams’ most recent start saw him surrender nine hits and four earned runs in six innings of work. Despite his struggles, the Nationals were able to edge out the Rockies 6-5.
With a season-long average of 4.3 runs per game, the Nationals are the 21st ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .261, with an OBP of .319. In Washington’s last ten games, they are 11th in home runs, having gone deep nine times in that span.
Jeimer Candelario is the Nationals’ leader in home runs for the 2023 season, boasting 16 long balls and 53 RBIs. His slugging percentage is currently at .482.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
104 games into the season, the Mets have a record of 49-55, putting them 4th in the NL East. This mark includes an overall series 11-17-5. At home, they are 25-23 compared to 24-32 on the road.
Justin Verlander is off to a strong start in 2023, having pitched at least six innings in two consecutive games. So far this season, the New York starter holds an ERA of 3.24 and a record of 5-5. His total strikeouts stand at 76, while his slugging percentage allowed is .345 and WHIP 1.15. Additionally, Verlander has held opponents to a .278 WOBA thus far.
Justin Verlander’s most recent outing was a successful one, as he earned the win in his team’s 9-3 victory over the Yankees. The veteran pitcher tossed six frames of shutout baseball, allowing just two hits and no runs.
Offensively, New York is ranked 19th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Mets averaged 4.6 runs per contest, which is 10th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, New York is 9th in all of baseball, with a total of 132 home runs.
Francisco Lindor has been one of the Mets’ most potent offensive threats in 2023. He currently sports a .231 batting average and has driven in 64 runs, while also hitting 20 home runs.