Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free Pick 09/21/19

The Washington Nationals will be facing off against their divisional rival Miami Marlins. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-230) as the favorite over Miami (+210). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -155 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and +135 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Nationals have gone 84-68 SU this year and are 83-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 10.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-100 SU and 78-74 ATS. The team has lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 71-69-12 in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 70-73-8.

Right-hander Stephen Strasburg will get the start for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 17-6 with a 3.49 ERA and 235 strikeouts. He’s 4-0 with 43 strikeouts and a 1.19 ERA against Miami this year (four starts).

The Marlins are sending righty Jordan Yamamoto (4-5, 4.87 ERA) to the mound. Yamamoto has 69 punchouts and 30 walks to his credit, along with a 1.13 WHIP. Yamamoto has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.81, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Nationals offense has slashed .263/.341/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto continue to lead Washington’s hitters. Rendon is slashing .328/.411/.617 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 113 runs scored, while Soto (.290/.401/.565) has produced 34 homers, 106 RBIs and 105 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.54 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.79.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .284/.354/.455 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .271/.301/.433 with 21 home runs, 80 RBIs and 64 runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .282/.331/.379 with five homers, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 5.3 units and are 61-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 54 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 17.2 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions:SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER