Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free Pick 09/22/19

Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will look to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game as they play host to the Washington Nationals at Marlins Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the action and the game is slated to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Washington (-200) is favored over Miami (+185) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). There’s a runline of Nationals -1.5 (-140) and Marlins +1.5 (+120) for this matchup.

The Nationals are 85-68 SU and are 84-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 11.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-101 SU and 78-75 ATS. They’ve lost 17.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 72-69-12 in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 71-73-8.

Austin Voth is getting the nod for the Nationals. The right-handed Voth is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Pablo Lopez (5-8, 4.94 ERA), who’s got 91 punchouts and 23 walks as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Lopez is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.54 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.27 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.97.

Miami’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .284/.358/.470 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .271/.300/.432 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Rojas is hitting .283 with five homers, 45 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.85, along with a K/9 of 9.10.

The Nationals offense has slashed .263/.342/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led Washington’s hitters. Rendon is slashing .326/.412/.613 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 114 runs scored. Eaton is hitting .280/.363/.429 with 14 homers, 47 RBIs, 97 runs and 14 steals.

The Nationals have lost 4.3 units and are 62-51 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 18.2 units and are 54-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 54 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER