Taking the field at 4:30 on Thursday, November 23rd is the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys. This game will be played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington TX. Carrying the game on television is CBS. In a matchup between two NFC East rivals, the Cowboys are 11 point favorites at home. Which side are we taking? Read on to get our pick and analysis.


The Pick: Washington Commanders +11

This game will be played at AT&T Stadium at 4:30 ET on Thursday, November 23rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 24-20 in favor of the Cowboys.
  • Our projections have Sam Howell finishing with 226.715 passing yards on 19.763/32.734 passing.
  • The Cowboys are projected to finish with 343 yards of offense compared to the 311 yards for the Commanders.

Will the Commanders Exceed Expectations on the Road?

In week 12, Washington is in 3rd place in the NFC-East with a 4-7 record. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 12th place. The Commanders’ current scoring margin for the season stands at -6.3, contributing to their ATS record of 5-5-1.

Washington’s offense comes in the game as the 16th in scoring at 21.5 PPG. In the first half, the Commanders have struggled with an average of 8.7 points. Washington is currently 1st in passing attempts and are averaging 6.1 yards per attempt (16). At 245 passing yards per game, they are 10th in the league.

The Commanders come into the game handing the ball off 20.9 times per game and are currently 25th in rushing yards. Their average yards per attempt is 4.7.

On the defensive front, the Commanders enter the game as the 4th ranked team in tackles for loss and 4th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 27.7 points per game against them, along with an average of 372.8 yards per contest.

Can the Cowboys Secure a Win at Home?

Leading up to their matchup with the Commanders, the Cowboys are 7-3. They currently sit 2nd in the NFC-East and are in 5th place in the NFC. The Cowboys’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +12.7, putting their ATS record at 7-3.

The Dallas offense is currently positioned 2nd in the league, scoring an average of 30.2 points per contest. This season, the Dallas’ passing offense is 9th in passing attempts. Their average of 255.5 passing yards per contest, has them 5th in the NFL.

The Cowboys are currently average 4 yards per rushing attempt while carrying the ball an average of 28.9 times per game. In terms of rushing yardage, they hold the 12th position in the league.

Dallas is 5th in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.5 points per game, accumulating 266.3 yards per contest.