The Week 6 of the NFL starts with TNF on Thursday, October 13, between these conference rivals, and here you can take a look at the best Commanders vs. Bears betting pick and odds.

Washington is now in real trouble after suffering four losses in a row and now is looking to avoid the fifth straight when they come to Soldier Field to face Chicago. The Bears are 1-point favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 38 points. These conference rivals will meet for the first time since 2019.

Commanders failed to beat the Titans despite domination in yards

The Washington Commanders (1-4, 1-4 ATS) needed only one good pass to snap a three-game losing streak and beat the Tennessee Titans at home, but Carson Wentz threw an interception in the end zone in dying moments, so the visitors took a 21-17 victory. Washington totaled 384 yards opposite Tennessee’s 241, but that didn’t matter in the end because of Wentz’s mistake.

Carson Wentz completed 25 of 38 passes for 359 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Dyami Brown registered the first two touchdowns of his career and led all the receivers with 105 yards on two catches. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel combined for 138 yards, but the Commanders’ run offense didn’t work as they collected just 43 yards on 17 carries. On defense, the hosts recorded five sacks, two of which came by the hands of Montez Sweat, while Cole Holcomb led all the defenders with game-high 15 tackles.

T Sam Cosmi (thumb) is out indefinitely. WR Jahan Dotson (hamstring), TE Logan Thomas (calf), and LB David Mayo (hamstring) are questionable to play against Chicago on Thursday.

Bears lost the third game on the road

The Chicago Bears (2-3, 2-2-1 ATS) suffered their third defeat on the road as they fell short to the divisional foes Minnesota Vikings 29-22. Minnesota scored a winning touchdown with 2:26 to go, but the Bears didn’t deserve to win as the Vikings dominated total yards (429-271), first downs (29-14), and possession (36:44-23:16).

Justin Fields completed 15 of 21 passes for 208 yards and a touchdown. He also led the Bears in rushing yards with 47 on eight carries. Velus Jones Jr. was on the receiving end of Fields’ lone TD pass, while David Montgomery contributed with 62 receiving yards on four catches. Defensively, Chicago had three individuals with 10+ tackles: Jaylon Jones, Kyler Gordon, and Nicholas Morrow.

CB Jaylon Johnson (quad) is questionable to feature on Thursday against the Commanders.



  • 0-4 ATS in the last four games overall
  • 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 games following an ATS loss
  • 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight vs. NFC rivals


  • 3-1-1 ATS in the last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record

Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears Pick  

These two teams have very different philosophies on offense; while the Commanders are focusing on passing and are top 10 in that regard with 252.6 yards per game, the Bears have the worst pass offense that averages just 116.6 ypg. However, Chicago is in the top 5 when it comes to run offense with 157.4 ypg and the Bears rely on QB Field and running backs Herbert and Montgomery to move the chains. I am backing the better defense to prevail in this one, and at this moment, that’s Chicago’s D.

Pick: Take the Bears at -1 (-110)

The Total

Washington scored only 35 points in the last three games and considering that both teams are not even in the top 25 when it comes to points per game, I don’t expect a high-scoring affair on Thursday. Chicago will eat a lot of game clock with its run offense, and I am backing the hosts to dominate the possession. Under is 4-1 in the Commanders’ last five vs. NFC rivals; Under is 21-8 in the Bears’ previous 29 home games, while Under is 14-3 in Chicago’s last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Pick: Go Under 38.5 points (-120)