Looking to win big? The Seahawks and Warriors face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Warriors are hosting the game at Hammel Court in North Andover, MA. The over/under for this game is set at 119.5 points, and Merrimack College is favored by -7.5 vs. Wagner in a Northeast conference matchup.


The Pick: Wagner Seahawks +7.5

This game will be played at Hammel Court at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 12th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Seahawks.
  • Not only will Wagner pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 119.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Wagner Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Wagner’s 66-56 win over Central Connecticut State marked their second straight victory, and they enter this game with a 15-15 record. They have gone 9-8 in Northeast Conference action and 6-7 in non-conference games. On the road, the Seahawks have gone 8-9 this season.

For the year, Wagner has been an underdog 14 times, going 6-8 in those games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -4.5 points per game, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games.

As the underdog this season, Wagner has gone 7-7 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-10. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Seahawks are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Wagner’s over/under record for the season sits at 9-18 and their games have averaged 125.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 119.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (129.4). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 116 points.

Wagner offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 66 points against Central Connecticut State. In that game, they made 5/17 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 38.9%. Leading Wagner in scoring vs. Central Connecticut State was Julian Brown with his 20 points. Keyontae Lewis also added 12 points for the Seahawks.

At present, the Seahawks’ defense is nationally ranked 10th, allowing 62.6 points per game. In today’s game, the Wagner defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 56 points.

Can the Warriors Lock in a Home Win?

At home, Merrimack has been dominant this season, going 10-2 with an average scoring margin of +8.7 points per game. They are currently on a six-game winning streak at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

For the year, Merrimack has been favored in 22 of their 32 games, and they have gone 17-5 in those matchups. They are coming off a 61-51 win over Le Moyne and have won two straight.

As the favorite, Merrimack College has gone just 10-11-1 vs. the spread this season, but they are 4-6 over their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Warriors have an ATS mark of 7-5 and are 6-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 119.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Merrimack’s games this year (135). So far, 24 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, which is higher than their season average (133.4).

The Merrimack College offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 61 points versus Le Moyne. During the game, they attempted 25 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 42.9%. The top scorer for the Warriors was Adam Clark with 24 points, while Jacob O’Connell also chipped in with 9 points.

In the current season, the Merrimack College defense has excelled, sitting 27th in the nation by allowing 65.8 points per game. The Merrimack College defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 51 points and allowed Le Moyne to connect on 7 threes.