Betting on today’s Keydets and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Southern conference contest is set at 161.5 points, with the Bulldogs being the favored team playing at home against the Keydets.
VMI KEYDETS VS SAMFORD BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: VMI Keydets +24
This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE VMI KEYDETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
- Even though we have Samford winning straight-up, we like VMI at +24.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 161.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Can the Keydets Lock in a Win at Homewood?
After losing their 13th straight game, VMI heads on the road to face Samford as 24-point underdogs. So far this year, VMI has gone 0-13 as the underdog.
On the road, VMI has gone 0-8, and they are currently on an eight-game losing streak away from home. For the season, VMI has an average scoring differential of -18.0 points per game on the road.
As the underdog this season, VMI has gone just 4-9 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Keydets are just 2-8 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 161.5 is higher than the average over/under line in VMI games this year (147.1). On the season, the over/under record in their games is 5-8. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and their games have averaged 164 points during this stretch.
In their most recent game, the VMI offense concluded with only 61 points against Chattanooga. Throughout the game, they made 7/28 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 32.8%. The top scorer for the Keydets was Tyran Cook with 14 points, while Taeshaud Jackson also chipped in with 14 points.
At this time, the Keydets’ defense is positioned 263rd in the country, permitting 76.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the VMI defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Chattanooga knocked down 17 three-pointers on their way to 109 points.
Can the Samford Offense Score Enough at Home?
Samford will look to extend their 11-game win streak when they take on VMI today. The Bulldogs have been perfect at home this season, going 8-0, and they have won their last 10 games at home.
So far, the Bulldogs have been favored in 11 of their 16 games, and they have gone 11-0 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +17.1 points per game.
When looking at Samford’s ATS record this season, they currently sit at 9-4. At home, they have gone 6-2 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an impressive ATS mark of 9-1. In their last 3 home games, Samford is 3-0 ATS.
Samford’s over/under record for the season is 6-7 and today’s line of 161.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (153.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points, which is lower than today’s line. On the year, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
Against UNCG, the Samford had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 88.8 points per game. They scored 79 points and posted a field goal percentage of 47.3% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is Achor Achor, who is averaging 15.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, A.J. Staton Mccray also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 heading into game.
At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 223rd, allowing 73.9 points per game. The Samford defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed UNCG to connect on 8 threes.