Looking to win big? The Keydets and Paladins face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Paladins are hosting the game at Timmons Arena in Greenview, SC. The over/under for this game is set at 164.5 points, and Furman is favored by -23 vs. VMI in a Southern conference matchup.


The Pick: VMI Keydets +23

This game will be played at Timmons Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Paladins.
  • Even though we have Furman winning straight-up, we like VMI at +23.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 164.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does VMI Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

After losing by 39 points to Samford, VMI has now lost six straight games and has an overall record of 4-21. The Keydets have gone 1-11 in Southern Conference play compared to 3-10 in non-conference action.

On the road this season, VMI is winless in 11 games, losing by an average of 20.7 points per game. The Keydets are 1-21 as the underdog this season and have gone 0-10 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog, VMI has gone 8-14 against the spread this season. On the road, the Keydets are just 3-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, VMI has a record of 4-6 vs. the spread.

VMI’s over/under record for the season is 10-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 154.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (151.4). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 165 points.

In their recent matchup, the VMI offense ended with 63 points against Samford. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.9% and made 1 three. Leading VMI in scoring vs. Samford was Taeshaud Jackson with his 16 points. Corey Chesley also added 16 points for the Keydets.

The Keydets’ defense is presently ranked 320th nationally, allowing an average of 82.2 points per contest. The VMI defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 102 points and allowed Samford to connect on 1 threes.

Can Furman Pull Off a Home Win?

As a team, Furman has been much better at home than on the road this season. They are 8-2 at home compared to 3-9 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

Coming into this game, Furman is 11-4 when favored, and they have been the favorite in 15 of their 25 games this season. Overall, they are 13-12, including a 7-5 record in Southern Conference play.

Against the spread, Furman has a record of 8-14 this season. At home, they are 5-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Paladins have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Furman’s games this season (155.3). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points compared to their season average of 156.9 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 80.2 points per game, the Furman had a below average performance. They scored 65 points against East Tennessee State and had a field goal percentage of 50%. Leading Furman in scoring vs. East Tennessee State was JP Pegues with his 15 points. Marcus Foster also added 11 points for the Paladins.

Coming into the game, Furman will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.4 points per game (260th). So far, the Furman defense is giving up an average of 8.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.3 times per game (621st).