Planning on watching today’s Keydets and Buccaneers game? Catch the action at Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, TN, as the Buccaneers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 147.5 points, and East Tennessee State is favored by -17.5 to win at home against VMI.


The Pick: VMI Keydets +17.5

This game will be played at Freedom Hall Civic Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Buccaneers.
  • Even though we have East Tennessee State winning straight-up, we like VMI at +17.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can The Keydets Secure a Win at Johnson City?

After dropping their eighth straight game, a 76-51 loss to Citadel, VMI has fallen to 4-23 overall and 1-13 in Southern Conference play. The Keydets have gone 3-10 in non-conference action, and they are still searching for their first win on the road, where they are 0-13 this season.

As a team, VMI is averaging just 64.5 points per game, while they are allowing 85.0 points per game. Over their last 10 games, the Keydets have gone 0-10, and they are currently riding a 13-game losing streak on the road.

As the underdog, VMI is 9-15 against the spread this season. On the road, the Keydets have gone just 4-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, VMI has an ATS record of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for VMI games is 10-14 and today’s over/under line of 147.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (152.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 4-6.

VMI offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 51 points against Citadel. In that game, they made 4/19 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 36.4%. Taeshaud Jackson led the scoring for the Keydets, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Stephen Olowoniyi chipped in with 11 points.

Looking at the VMI defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 81.7 points per game (330th). VMI’s three-point defense is currently 202nd in the country at 8.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.6% of their shots vs. VMI.

Will the Buccaneers Win at Home?

East Tennessee State will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they host VMI. The Buccaneers are 13-14 overall, including a 7-4 record at home. They are 7-2 this season when favored, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

On the year, East Tennessee State has a scoring differential of +1.9 points per game at home. They have gone 2-1 in their last three games at home, and they are coming off a 70-65 loss to Western Carolina.

As the favorite this season, East Tennessee State has gone just 3-6 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Buccaneers have an ATS mark of 3-7. At home, ETSU is 6-5 vs. the spread this year and their ATS record over their last three home games is 2-1.

Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in East Tennessee State’s games this season (141.9). So far, 17 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

In their latest game, East Tennessee State offense put up 65 points against Western Carolina. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.3% and made 4 threes. In terms of offense, the Buccaneers have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, putting them 386th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 379th in percentage and 189th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Buccaneers’ defense holds the 98th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. VMI, the East Tennessee State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, East Tennessee State made 19 free-throws vs. the Buccaneers.