The Hokies and Cardinals are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The Cardinals will host the game at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY. Virginia Tech come into this Atlantic Coast conference matchup as the -8.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 152 points.


The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +8.5

This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Louisville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Hokies Find a Way to Win in Louisville?

Virginia Tech comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been the favorite in 17 of their 29 games this season. They have gone 13-4 in those games, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +12.2.

On the road, the Hokies have struggled mightily, going just 1-10 this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -9.6, and they have lost their last five games away from home.

Virginia Tech has an ATS record of 12-15-2 this season and is 1-10 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 road games, the Hokies are just 1-9 ATS. However, they have fared better as the favorite, going 9-6-2 vs. the spread this year and 6-3-1 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in Virginia Tech games this year (143.8). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

Virginia Tech’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 87 points vs. Wake Forest. Overall, they hit 59.6% of their shots from the field and went 10/14 from the free-throw line. Leading Virginia Tech in scoring vs. Wake Forest was Hunter Cattoor with his 26 points. Lynn Kidd also added 21 points for the Hokies.

At this time, the Hokies’ defense is positioned 126th in the country, permitting 70.6 points per game. The Virginia Tech defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Wake Forest to connect on 9 threes.

Can The Cardinals Secure a Home Victory?

Despite being the underdog, Louisville has been favored in nine of their 29 games this season, going 6-3 in those contests. The Cardinals are 2-18 when not favored, including their current five-game losing streak. They are 8-21 overall and just 3-15 in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

At home, Louisville is 7-11 this season, including a 2-3 record in their last five games. For the year, they have been outscored by an average of 2.9 points per game at home. Their record on the road is 1-10, and they have lost seven straight games away from home.

Against the spread, Louisville is 12-15-2 this season. At home, the Cardinals are 7-9-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisville has gone 4-6 vs. the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog this year is 9-10-1, and they are 0-3 in their last 3 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Louisville games is 16-13 and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

In their recent matchup, the Louisville offense ended with 76 points against Syracuse. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.8% and made 4 threes. On the offensive front, the Cardinals have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 295th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 385th in terms of percentage and 345th in three-pointers made.

The Cardinals’ defense is presently ranked 314th nationally, allowing an average of 78.9 points per contest. Against Syracuse in their most recent game, the Louisville defense gave up a total of 82 points while allowing Syracuse to hit 43% of their shots.