Looking to win big? The Cavaliers and Cardinals face off at 12:00 ET on CW. The Cardinals are hosting the game at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY. In this Atlantic Coast matchup, Virginia is favored by -8.5 vs. Louisville. The over/under for the game is 128.5 points.


The Pick: Louisville Cardinals +8.5

This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center at 12:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Louisville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 128.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Will the Cavaliers Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Virginia comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 14 of their 19 games this season. The Cavaliers are 12-2 in those games, and they have a record of 14-5 overall. They have won two games in a row, including a 75-66 win over Georgia Tech.

On the road, Virginia is just 1-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -15.8 points per game. However, at home, they are a perfect 12-0, and their average scoring margin is +18.8 points per game.

Virginia has an ATS record of 10-8 this season, including a mark of 1-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have gone 7-2-1 vs. the spread.

Virginia’s over/under record this season is 8-10 and the average scoring total in their games is 123.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (127) and their average margin versus the over/under line is -3.3. So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line and in their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points.

In their latest game, Virginia offense put up 75 points against Georgia Tech. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 11 threes. The top scorer for the Cavaliers was Isaac McKneely with 20 points, while Reece Beekman also added 19 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Cavaliers’ defense holds the 3rd rank in the nation, allowing 57.9 points per game. The Virginia defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed Georgia Tech to connect on 9 threes.

Will Louisville Win at Home?

Heading into tonight’s game against Virginia, Louisville is 6-13 overall and 1-7 in ACC play. They have lost four straight games and are 5-8 at home this season. So far, they are 1-11 when listed as the underdog.

Most recently, the Cardinals lost to Duke by a score of 83-69. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 3-7.

Against the spread, Louisville has gone 8-9-2 this season. At home, the Cardinals are 5-6-2 vs. the spread. As the underdog, Louisville has a 6-5-1 record vs. the spread this year.

Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Louisville’s games this season (147.1). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 154 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Louisville offense tallied 69 points in a matchup against Duke. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.2%, and they made 5 threes. Brandon Huntley-Hatfield led the scoring for the Cardinals, contributing 20 points. Additionally, Skyy Clark chipped in with 13 points.

Coming into the game, Louisville will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 78.1 points per game (275th). Against Duke in their most recent game, the Louisville defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Duke to hit 46% of their shots.