Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Wildcats and Friars. The game is starting at 12:00 ET on FOX, and it’s hosted by the Friars at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 135 points, and Providence is favored by -2.5 vs. Villanova in a Big East conference matchup.


The Pick: Providence Friars -2.5

This game will be played at Amica Mutual Pavilion at 12:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Friars.
  • Not only will Providence pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Villanova Find a Way to Win on the Road?

After winning their last game against Georgetown by a score of 75-47, Villanova comes into this game with a record of 16-12. In their last ten games on the road, they have gone 4-6, and their record on the road this season is 4-7.

So far this season, Villanova has been the underdog in eight games, and they have gone 2-6 in those games. As the underdog, their average scoring margin is -1.5 points per game. Today, they are the underdog by 2.5 points.

As the underdog, Villanova has gone just 3-4-1 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record sits at 4-6-1, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are just 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 135 is lower than the average over/under line in Villanova’s games this season (139.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 129 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 3-7.

Coming off their recent game, the Villanova offense tallied 75 points in a matchup against Georgetown. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.2%, and they made 13 threes. Offensively, the Wildcats hold a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, placing them 315th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 235th in terms of percentage and 31st in three-pointers made.

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 33rd in the country at 65.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. Providence. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.8%.

Can the Friars Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Providence enters tonight’s game as a 2.5-point favorite over Villanova. The Friars have been excellent at home this season, going 14-3, and they have won four straight games at home. On the year, they are 13-3 when favored.

Over their last ten games at home, the Friars have gone 8-2. They are coming off a 91-69 loss to Marquette, but they have still gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.

As the favorite this season, Providence has gone 8-8 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 9-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Friars are 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Providence has gone 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Providence games is 13-15. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 142.9 points, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 142.1. Today’s over/under line of 135 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (154), and over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 7-3.

The Friars’ offense wrapped up their last game with 69 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 73.8 points per contest. Devin Carter was the leading scorer for the Friars, putting up 18 points. In addition, Davonte Gaines contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Providence defense is giving up an average of 69.1 points per contest. The Providence defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 91 points and allowed Marquette to connect on 14 threes.