Looking to win big? The Wildcats and Bulldogs face off at 3:00 ET on FS1. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 141.5 points, and Butler is favored by -1.5 to win at home against Villanova.


The Pick: Butler Bulldogs -1.5

This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse at 3:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Butler pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Wildcats Chances on the Road

Despite being the underdog, Villanova has had a lot of success on the road this season. They come into this game with a road record of 3-4 and an average scoring margin of +0.3 points per game. Over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone 4-6.

Overall, Villanova is 11-8 this season, and they have lost three straight games. In Big East play, they are 4-4 compared to a 7-4 record in non-conference games. For the season, they have been the underdog five times and have gone 2-3 in those games.

As the underdog this season, Villanova has gone 3-2 vs. the spread. On the road, the Wildcats are 3-4 ATS this year and 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Villanova games is 7-11-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 139 points. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is similar to their average OU line of 139.1. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

The Villanova offense is coming off a game in which they scored 50 points vs. St. John’s. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.5% while connecting on 4 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Eric Dixon, who holds an average of 15 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, TJ Bamba is averaging 9.7 points per game this season.

This season, the Villanova defense has been impressive, holding the 53rd position in the country while permitting an average of 66.5 points per contest. So far, the Villanova defense is giving up an average of 6.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.6 times per game (376th).

Can the Bulldogs Lock in a Home Win?

Butler comes into this game as the favorite, with a record of 10-1 in games where they were favored. At home, the Bulldogs are 9-3 this season, with an average scoring margin of +12.7 points per game.

Overall, Butler has gone 13-7 this season, including a 4-5 record in Big East games. They have won two straight games, and their most recent game was a 90-66 win over Georgetown.

Butler’s ATS record this season is currently 9-10. At home, the Bulldogs are 6-6 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Butler is 5-5. Over their last three home games, the Bulldogs are 0-3 ATS.

Butler’s over/under record for the season is 11-8, and the average over/under line in their games is 145.1. Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average scoring in their games this year (151.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.

In their latest game, Butler’s offense looked good, scoring 90 points against Georgetown. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 56.9% and made 18/24 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Pierre Brooks, who holds an average of 16.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jahmyl Telfort is averaging 13.4 points per game this season.

Currently, the Bulldogs’ defense holds the 167th rank in the nation, allowing 72.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Villanova. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.