Looking to win big? The Catamounts and Retrievers face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Retrievers are hosting the game at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD. Vermont is favored by -10.5 in this America East conference contest against UMBC. The game’s over/under currently sits at 149.5 points.


The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +10.5

This game will be played at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Retrievers.
  • Not only will UMBC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Does Vermont Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

With a record of 18-6, Vermont has been one of the top teams in the America East this season. They have gone 8-1 in conference play and 10-5 in non-conference games. As the favorite, the Catamounts are 13-3, and they have gone 7-5 on the road compared to 9-1 at home.

Over their last 10 games, Vermont has gone 6-4 on the road, and they are coming off a 63-61 loss to NJIT. On the season, the Catamounts have an average scoring margin of +2.7 points per game when playing away from home.

Against the spread, Vermont has a record of 9-13 this season. On the road, the Catamounts have gone 6-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Vermont is just 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Vermont games is 6-15-1. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (139.1). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points.

In their most recent game, the Vermont offense concluded with only 61 points against NJIT. Throughout the game, they made 10/28 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 39.2%. On the offensive front, the Catamounts have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 88th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 154th in terms of percentage and 53rd in three-pointers made.

In the current season, the Vermont defense has excelled, sitting 13th in the nation by allowing 63.1 points per game. Vermont’s three-point defense is currently 68th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.2% of their shots vs. Vermont.

Will the Retrievers Find a Way to Win at Home?

UMBC will be a 10.5-point underdog at home against Vermont. The Retrievers are 4-7 at home this season, including a 3-game losing streak.

UMBC comes in with a 7-17 record, including a 2-7 mark in America East play. So far, the Retrievers have gone 5-13 as the underdog.

UMBC has an ATS record of 12-11 this season, including a mark of 4-7 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Retrievers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

UMBC’s over/under record this season is 15-8 and today’s line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (157.7). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 194 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

UMBC’s offense had a good outing, putting up 80 points against Massachusetts-Lowell. They achieved a 43.9% field goal percentage and went 15/24 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Dion Brown with 28 points. Anthony Valentine also added 17 points for the Retrievers.

Coming into the game, UMBC will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 83.4 points per game (333rd). The UMBC defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 93 points and allowed Massachusetts-Lowell to connect on 7 threes.