VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers Free Prediction 01/12/18

 
Friday, 01/12/2018 at 07:00 pm VA COMMONWEALTH (11-7) at DAYTON (9-8)
Expanded Matchup Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
823VA COMMONWEALTH 146 78.1 75.6 11-7 7-7-0 7-7-0 45.7% 72.2% 36.8% 45.4% 67.4% 35.1%
824DAYTON -3 73.6 71.2 9-8 8-9-0 9-8-0 48.1% 73.5% 34.5% 44.9% 71.6% 36.9%

Last Updated: 2018-01-12

The VCU Rams (11-6, 3-1 A10), 2-point underdogs, will be at University of Dayton Arena to go head-to-head against the Dayton Flyers (8-8, 2-2 A10) in an A10 matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 146.5 points and it will air on ESPN2 at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 12, 2018.

VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers ATS Odds

Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Flyers defeated the Richmond Spiders 87-81, while the Rams beat the Duquesne Dukes 78-67.

VCU played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.375 (above their season average of 0.203) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 31.8). Duquesne was 0.092 and 21.7, respectively, for those same stats. The Flyers, meanwhile, had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.702 (above their season average of 0.535) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.6 (above their season average of 25.8). Trey Landers had a good game for Dayton, putting up 18 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, VCU was lifted by Justin Tillman, who finished with 10 points and 17 rebounds.

Dayton figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Flyers currently rank 66th in effective field goal percentage (0.545), while VCU ranks 194th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506).

Tillman has been solid as of late for VCU, averaging 19.8 points and 12.0 rebounds over the last five games.

This was a highly contested series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Flyers won the last contest 79-72. One of Dayton’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 28 free throw attempts, while VCU had 24. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers Betting Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – VCU, ATS Winner – VCU, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

VCU ranks 58th in rebounds per game (38.6) while Dayton ranks 252nd (32.0).

The Flyers rank 35th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Rams rank 67th (3.2).

The Flyers average 24.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 81st in the nation. The Rams rank 151st in three pointers allowed per game (22.6).

VCU averages 14.9 assists per game, which ranks 82nd in the NCAA. Dayton ranks 144th in assists allowed per game (13.9).

Bettings Trends:

During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 74.0 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average).

The Rams’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 4.2 for the season.

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