Planning on watching today’s Rams and Flyers game? Catch the action at UD Arena in Dayton, OH, as the Flyers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under for this Atlantic 10 conference contest is set at 138 points, with Dayton being favored by -7.5 at home against VCU.


The Pick: VCU Rams +7.5

This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flyers.
  • Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like VCU at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Rams Come Through as Road Underdogs?

VCU heads into this game as a 7.5-point underdog. This season, the Rams have gone 3-6 when tabbed as the underdog.

So far, VCU has gone 5-4 on the road, compared to 14-7 at home. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Rams have gone 5-5.

As the underdog, VCU has gone 5-4 vs. the spread this season and they are 18-12 overall. On the road, the Rams are 6-3 ATS this year and 2-1 in their last 3 games vs. the spread away from home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, VCU is 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in VCU games this year (140.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

VCU offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 59 points against Duquesne. In that game, they made 8/22 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42.9%. The VCU offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 36% of their looks from outside this season.

This season, the VCU defense has been impressive, holding the 49th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.8 points per contest. The VCU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Duquesne to connect on 8 threes.

Will Dayton Make it Happen at Home?

Dayton comes into tonight’s game with a perfect 16-0 record at home, and they have won their last 16 games at home. On the season, Dayton has gone 23-6, including a 13-4 mark in Atlantic 10 play.

Recently, Dayton has been on fire at home, going 10-0 in their last 10 games at home. In their last game, the Flyers defeated Saint Louis by a score of 100-83. So far this season, Dayton has been favored in 25 games, and they have gone 21-4 in those games.

Against the spread, Dayton has gone 15-13-1 this season. At home, they are 8-8 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Flyers are 13-12 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Dayton is 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 138 for the Dayton vs VCU matchup is right in line with the average OU line in Flyers games this year (137.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points compared to their season average of 140.4. Over their last 10 games, the OU record is 7-2-1.

Dayton is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 100 points vs. Saint Louis. This figure is more than their season average of 74.8 points per game. DaRon Holmes II led the team in scoring, putting up 25 points. Additionally, Kobe Elvis contributed 21 points for the Flyers.

This season, the Dayton defense has been impressive, holding the 28th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Saint Louis, the Billikens finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 83 points vs. Dayton.