Planning on watching today’s Commodores and Volunteers game? Catch the action at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN, as the Volunteers hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on SECN. The over/under for this game is set at 143 points, and Tennessee is favored by -20 vs. Vanderbilt in a Southeastern conference matchup.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +20

This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Volunteers.
  • Even though we have Tennessee winning straight-up, we like Vanderbilt at +20.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Commodores Lock in a Road Win?

With a 7-17 record, Vanderbilt has struggled this season, especially on the road, where they have gone 0-7. They have lost seven straight games away from home, and their average margin of defeat on the road is -13.3 points per game.

Coming off a 74-73 win over Texas A&M, the Commodores are 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road. For the season, they have been the underdog in 16 of their 24 games, going just 2-14 in those contests.

As the underdog this season, Vanderbilt has gone 7-8-1 vs. the spread. On the road, the Commodores are just 2-4-1 ATS and over their last three road games, they are 0-2-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 8-16 and today’s line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (141.8). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and the over/under record is 3-0.

Vanderbilt recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 74 points against Texas A&M. This output exceeded their season average of 66.9 points per game. Offensively, the Commodores hold a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, placing them 389th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 395th in terms of percentage and 254th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Commodores’ defense is nationally ranked 211st, allowing 73.7 points per game. Vanderbilt’s three-point defense is currently 220th in the country at 8.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. Vanderbilt.

Will the Volunteers Find a Way to Win at Home?

After their 92-63 win over Arkansas, Tennessee comes into this game with an 18-6 record, including an impressive 12-1 record at home. The Volunteers have been favored in 20 of their 24 games, going 17-3 in those contests.

Over their last 10 home games, Tennessee has gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 over their last five. On the season, the Volunteers have outscored their opponents by an average of 19.3 points per game at home, compared to just 4.0 points per game on the road.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has gone 10-9-1 against the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have a 5-5 ATS mark. At home, Tennessee has an ATS record of 7-5-1 this year and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 143 for Tennessee’s matchup with Vanderbilt is very close to the average OU line in their games this season (143.7). So far, the over/under record in their games is 15-9. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, and their OU record across their last 10 games is 7-3.

The Tennessee offense is coming off a game where they scored 92 points against Arkansas. They posted a field goal percentage of 56.9% and connected on 5 threes. The Tennessee offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.1 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

So far this season, the Tennessee defense has been performing well, ranking 73rd in the country at 67.8 points allowed per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. Vanderbilt. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.6%.