Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Commodores versus the Wildcats? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on SECN. The game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY. The odds for this Southeastern conference game currently have Kentucky as the -18.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 160.5 points.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +18.5

This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.

WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Kentucky winning straight-up, we like Vanderbilt at +18.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does Vanderbilt Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Despite being 18.5-point underdogs, Vanderbilt has gone 5-3 this season when being favored. The Commodores are 3-18 when being the underdog, and they have gone 1-9 on the road this season.

Over their last 10 road games, Vanderbilt has gone 1-9, including a 75-61 loss to LSU in their most recent game. On the season, the Commodores are 8-21, including a 3-13 record in Southeastern Conference games.

Against the spread, Vanderbilt has a record of 12-16-1 this season. On the road, they are 4-5-1 vs. the spread and 9-11-1 overall as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 9-20. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 142.4 and their matchups have averaged 141.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average scoring total of their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 148 points.

In their most recent game, the Vanderbilt offense put up just 61 points vs. the LSU Tigers. Overall, they are now averaging 66.6 points per game which is 400th in the country. Ezra Manjon is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Tyrin Lawrence brings a PPG average of 13.7 into the game.

At this time, the Commodores’ defense is positioned 243rd in the country, permitting 74.7 points per game. The Vanderbilt defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed LSU to connect on 3 threes.

Will Kentucky Win at Home?

After a 111-102 win over Arkansas, Kentucky has won three straight games and is now 21-8 overall. At home, the Wildcats are 14-4 compared to 7-4 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 23 games and have gone 17-6 in those matchups.

On the season, Kentucky has outscored opponents by an average of 13.4 points per game at home compared to 5.5 points per game on the road. Over their last 10 home games, the Wildcats are 8-2.

As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone 11-12 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have a below-average ATS mark of 3-7. At home, Kentucky has an ATS record of 10-8 this year and they are 6-4 ATS over their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Kentucky games is 21-8. On average, their games have finished with 168.7 points, which is 10.4 more than the average over/under line of 158.3. Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is lower than the average scoring total of their last three games (201 points).

Kentucky’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 111 points against Arkansas. They had an overall field goal percentage of 56.7% and made 34/42 free throws. Leading the team in scoring was Antonio Reeves with 22 points. D.J. Wagner also added 19 points for the Wildcats.

The Wildcats’ defense is presently ranked 318th nationally, allowing an average of 79.1 points per contest. Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 219th in the country at 8.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Kentucky.