Looking to win big? The Commodores and Gators face off at 1:00 ET on SECN. The Gators are hosting the game at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, FL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 151 points, and Florida is favored by -16.5 to win at home against Vanderbilt.


The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +16.5

This game will be played at Exactech Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Gators.
  • Even though we have Florida winning straight-up, we like Vanderbilt at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Commodores Defense Show Up in Gainesville?

Today, Vanderbilt will be on the road as they take on Florida. The Commodores are 7-19 overall, and their two-game losing streak has dropped them to 2-11 in the Southeastern Conference. On the road, Vanderbilt has yet to win this season, going 0-8.

So far, the Commodores have been the underdog in 18 of their 26 games, and they have gone 2-16 in those contests. For the season, Vanderbilt has an average scoring differential of -16.0 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Vanderbilt has gone just 7-10-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in Vanderbilt games this season (141.9). So far, 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 1-2.

In their latest game, Vanderbilt offense put up 64 points against Georgia. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 36.2% and made 11 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Ezra Manjon, who holds an average of 14 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrin Lawrence is averaging 13.4 points per game this season.

At present, the Commodores’ defense is nationally ranked 237th, allowing 74.3 points per game. Vanderbilt’s three-point defense is currently 221st in the country at 8.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.5% of their shots vs. Vanderbilt.

Can Florida Grab a Win at Home?

Florida enters this game with an 18-8 record, including a 13-1 mark at home. The Gators have won three straight games and have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

So far this season, Florida has been favored in 20 of its 26 games, going 16-4 in those matchups. The Gators’ average scoring margin at home is +15.2 points per game.

As the favorite, Florida has an ATS record of 9-11 this season and they have gone 6-8 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators are 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is lower than the average over/under line in Florida’s games this year (155.8). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

In their recent matchup, the Florida offense ended with 88 points against Georgia. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.3% and made 9 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Walter Clayton Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.8. Zyon Pullin also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.6.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Florida is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 77.7 points per game (296th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Florida’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.5% this season.