Last Updated: 2017-12-07
It will be a battle between two stifling defenses when the 21st-ranked Purdue Boilermakers (8-2), 15.5-point favorites, take on the Valparaiso Crusaders (8-0) at Mackey Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 148.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 7, 2017.
Valparaiso Crusaders at Purdue Boilermakers Betting Odds
Both teams were victorious over their last opponent. The Boilermakers defeated the Northwestern Wildcats 74-69, while the Crusaders beat the Utah State Aggies 72-65.
Valparaiso played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 41.0 (above their season average of 36.8) and a free throw rate of 0.295 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Utah State had marks of 34.0 and 0.258, respectively. Meanwhile, Purdue’s 0.302 free throw rate was their largest strength over Northwestern, who had a rate of 0.048. The Boilermakers’ mark matched their season average, while the Wildcats’ was below their season average of 0.275. Isaac Haas was a key piece for Purdue with 26 points and nine rebounds. Tevonn Walker, meanwhile played well for Valparaiso, contributing 25 points and nine rebounds.
The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the high-powered offense of Purdue takes on the elite defense of Valparaiso. Since the 2016-17 season, the Boilermakers rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Crusaders are 23rd in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Crusaders have been among the NCAA’s elite at getting to the line, ranking 24th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.304). The Boilermakers, meanwhile, rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.162).
Crusaders games have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (60.0 percent). Valparaiso comes into the contest with records of 8-0 straight up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Valparaiso, games involving the Boilermakers tend to finish over the O/U total (55.6 percent). Further, Purdue is 8-2 SU and 6-3 ATS.
Valparaiso Crusaders at Purdue Boilermakers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over
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Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Purdue ranks eighth in assists per game (18.2) while Valparaiso ranks 204th (13.0).
The Crusaders average 38.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 40th in the NCAA. The Boilermakers rank 141st in rebounds allowed per game (31.9).
Purdue ranks 44th in steals allowed per game (6.2) while Valparaiso ranks 90th (5.7).
The Boilermakers rank 10th in blocks per game (3.2) while the Crusaders rank 179th (3.0).
Purdue ranks 117th in three pointers attempted per game (22.4) while Valparaiso ranks 224th in three pointers allowed per game (22.7).