Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Beacons versus the Flames? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Credit Union 1 Arena in Chicago, IL. The over/under for this game is set at 136 points, and the Flames are the home favorites against the Beacons in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.
VALPARAISO BEACONS VS UIC FLAMES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +12
This game will be played at Credit Union 1 Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flames.
- Even though we have UIC winning straight-up, we like Valparaiso at +12.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Is a Road Win Possible for Valparaiso?
Valparaiso comes into today’s game as the underdog, and they have struggled mightily this season. They have lost eight straight games and are 4-10 overall. On the road, they are 0-5 and have an average scoring margin of -12.2 points per game.
In their last game, Valparaiso lost to Bradley by a score of 86-61. This season, they have been the underdog in eight of their 14 games and have yet to win as the underdog.
Valparaiso’s ATS record this season is 6-6-1, but they have gone 3-1-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 road games, the Beacons have a mark of 5-4-1.
Valparaiso’s over/under record this season is 4-9 and today’s line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (144.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.
The Valparaiso offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against Bradley. They posted a field goal percentage of 40.8% and connected on 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Isaiah Stafford, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.2, while Cooper Schwieger also carries a PPG average of 10.8 into the game.
The Beacons’ defense is presently ranked 164th nationally, allowing an average of 72.1 points per contest. So far, the Valparaiso defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.6 times per game (520th).
Will the Flames Make it Happen at Home?
Heading into today’s matchup, the UIC Flames are favored by 12 points over the Valparaiso Beacons. So far this season, UIC has gone 7-7 and have lost three straight games. In their last game, the Flames lost to Murray State by a score of 85-73.
At home, UIC is 3-3 this season and have an average scoring margin of +9.7 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Flames have gone 5-5. So far this season, UIC has been favored in six of their 14 games and have gone 3-3 in those matchups.
As the favorite this season, UIC has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 3-3 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flames are 6-3-1. In their last 3 games at home, UIC is 1-2 vs. the spread and over their last 10 home games, their ATS record is 5-4.
UIC’s over/under record for the season sits at 5-8 and their games have averaged 134.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (139.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.
The Flames’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 71.1 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Isaiah Rivera, who is averaging 14.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Toby Okani also maintains a PPG average of 13.1 heading into game.
Coming into today’s game, the UIC defense is giving up an average of 64.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Murray State, the Racers finished with a field goal percentage of 56% and a total of 85 points vs. UIC.