Betting on today’s Beacons and Racers game? Catch the action at CFSB Center in Murray, KY, as the Racers hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144 points, and Murray State is favored by -13 to win at home against Valparaiso.


The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +13

This game will be played at CFSB Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Racers.
  • Even though we have Murray State winning straight-up, we like Valparaiso at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Valparaiso Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Valparaiso enters this game on a nine-game losing streak, including a 83-64 loss to Indiana State in their last outing. The Beacons have struggled mightily on the road this season, posting a 1-11 record away from home.

For the year, Valparaiso is just 6-22, including a 2-15 mark in Missouri Valley Conference games. They have been the underdog in 21 of their 28 games, going 2-19 in those contests.

As the underdog, Valparaiso has gone 11-9-1 vs. the spread this season. They have an ATS record of 14-12-1 overall and are 9-2-1 ATS on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beacons are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, Valparaiso’s over/under record is 14-13 and today’s over/under line of 144 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (143.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their latest game, Valparaiso offense put up 64 points against Indiana State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.7% and made 4 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Isaiah Stafford, who holds an average of 17.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Cooper Schwieger is averaging 12.2 points per game this season.

So far, the Beacons’ defense is ranked 255th in the country at 75.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Indiana State, the Sycamores finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 83 points vs. Valparaiso.

Are Murray State Ready for a Home Win?

Despite an overall record of 11-17, Murray State has been a much better team at home with a record of 6-8 compared to just 4-9 on the road. They have also been an underdog in 15 of their 28 games, going 5-10 in those contests.

Coming off a 72-68 loss to Southern Illinois, the Racers are 2-3 in their last five home games and 4-6 in their last ten.

As the favorite, Murray State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 3-9 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is just 4-10 and their ATS mark over their last 10 games as the favorite is 3-7. Over their last three home games, the Racers have gone just 1-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Murray State games is 12-15. The average scoring total in their games is 139.5, which is 2.5 points lower than the average over/under line of 142. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

In their most recent game, the Racers’ offense tallied 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 70.7 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Quincy Anderson, who holds an average of 12.6 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jacobi Wood is averaging 12.5 points per game this season.

At this time, the Racers’ defense is positioned 100th in the country, permitting 69.2 points per game. Murray State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Southern Illinois offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 72 points.