Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Beacons and Phoenix. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on FloH, and it’s hosted by the Phoenix at Schar Center in Elon, NC. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Phoenix as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 144.5 points.
VALPARAISO BEACONS VS ELON PHOENIX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Elon Phoenix -4.5
This game will be played at Schar Center at 2:00 ET on Friday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE ELON PHOENIX:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Phoenix.
- Not only will Elon pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Can the Beacons Grab a Win in Elon?
Valparaiso comes into their 13th game of the season with a record of 4-8. Away from home, the Beacons have yet to win a game, going 0-4. In contrast, they have a 3-2 record at home. Valparaiso has a winning record against the spread, sitting at 5-3-1. When playing away from home, Valparaiso has a 2-1-1 record vs. the spread this season and is 4-5-1 in their previous ten road games.
Looking at their over/under performance through 12 games, Valparaiso has an over/under record of 2-7-0, with their games averaging 135.2 points per game on average. When analyzing the Beacons’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 133 points per game and an over/under record of 0-5.
The Valparaiso offense is coming off a game where they scored 50 points against Virginia Tech. They posted a field goal percentage of 40.4% and connected on 3 threes. On the offensive front, the Beacons have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, ranking 374th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 310th in terms of percentage and 243rd in three-pointers made.
Currently, the Beacons’ defense holds the 138th rank in the nation, allowing 70.0 points per game. So far, the Valparaiso defense is giving up an average of 9.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11 times per game (436th).
Does Elon Have What it Takes at Home?
Elon will be playing their 13th game of the season against Valparaiso, and currently have a 6-6 record. In away games, they have gone 2-6 so far, while at home they have a perfect 2-0 record. As of today, Elon holds a 5-5 ATS record. In their last ten games this season, Elon has gone 1-2 vs. the spread.
In 12 games, Elon comes in with an over/under mark of 7-2-1, with their games averaging 152.8 points per game. Over the course of the last five games, the Phoenix’s games have averaged 155 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-1.
Coming off their recent game, the Elon offense tallied 43 points in a matchup against South Carolina. Their field goal percentage for the game was 32%, and they made 2 threes. TK Simpkins is leading the team in scoring at 12.3 points per contest. Max Mackinnon has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.5 going into the game.
The Phoenix’s defense is presently ranked 236th nationally, allowing an average of 76.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. South Carolina, the Gamecocks finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 70 points vs. Elon.