Planning on watching today’s Beacons and Bruins game? Catch the action at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO, as the Bruins hosts this showdown at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Belmont as the -13 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 153.5 points.

VALPARAISO BEACONS VS BELMONT BRUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +13

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 3:30 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Even though we have Belmont winning straight-up, we like Valparaiso at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Valparaiso enters today’s game as 13-point underdogs. They have gone 3-21 as underdogs this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -10.9 points per game.

Valparaiso’s record on the road this season is 1-13. In their last game, they defeated Illinois State by a score of 75-72. Over their last ten road games, they have gone 1-9.

Valparaiso has been one of the better teams in the country against the spread this season, going 17-12-1. Their road ATS mark of 11-2-1 is especially impressive. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beacons are 5-5. On the road, they have gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5.

Valparaiso’s over/under record this season is 16-14, and their games have averaged 142.4 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (143.8). So far, 25 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 138 points per game.

Valparaiso is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 75 points vs. Illinois State. This figure is more than their season average of 67.8 points per game. On offense, Valparaiso has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 41%. So far, they are 350th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 71%.

So far, the Beacons’ defense is ranked 254th in the country at 75.2 points per contest. So far, the Valparaiso defense is giving up an average of 9.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (473rd).

Will the Bruins Win at Enterprise Center?

Belmont enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 14 of their 31 games this season. They have gone 13-1 in those games, and they have been even better at home, where they are 11-2 this season.

The Bruins are currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are coming off a win over Evansville, 83-66. At home, they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they are currently on a four-game winning streak at home.

Belmont has been a solid team vs. the spread this season, going 15-15. They have been even better at home, going 8-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bruins are 8-2 ATS.

Belmont’s over/under record this season is 13-17, and today’s over/under line of 153.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (154.1). So far, 17 of their games have finished with a higher point total than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average of 154 points per game.

Belmont’s offense had a good outing, putting up 83 points against Evansville. They achieved a 50% field goal percentage and went 16/23 from the free-throw line. Leading Belmont in scoring vs. Evansville was Ja’kobi Gillespie with his 18 points. Cade Tyson also added 17 points for the Bruins.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Belmont is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.3 points per game (278th). In their previous game vs. Evansville, the Aces finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 66 points vs. Belmont.