Betting on today’s Roadrunners and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 159 points, and SMU is favored by -16.5 to win at home against UTSA.

UTSA ROADRUNNERS VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UTSA Roadrunners +16.5

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 3:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE UTSA ROADRUNNERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Even though we have SMU winning straight-up, we like UTSA at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 159 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will UTSA Shock Everyone at Moody Coliseum?

UTSA enters this game as a +16.5 underdog, and they have gone 3-17 as the underdog this season. They have gone 10-19 overall, including a 4-12 record in American Athletic Conference play.

Over their last 10 road games, the Roadrunners have gone just 2-8, and they are 3-11 on the road this season. However, they have won two straight games, and their record over the last five games is 1-4.

UTSA has an ATS record of 14-14 this season and they are 10-10 vs. the spread as the underdog. Over their last 3 road games, the Roadrunners have gone 3-0 ATS and they have an ATS mark of 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record in UTSA games is 19-9 and today’s line of 159 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (152.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 159. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 138 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, UTSA’s offense scored 89 points against Tulsa. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.4%, and they went 19/31 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Christian Tucker, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 11.5, while Jordan Ivy-Curry also maintains a PPG average of 16.9 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Roadrunners’ defense holds the 334th rank in the nation, allowing 81.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.5 threes per game vs. SMU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.7%.

Is a Home Win Possible for SMU?

SMU comes into this game with a 19-9 record, including a 10-5 mark in American Athletic Conference play. They have lost two straight games and are 17-3 when favored this season.

The Mustangs are 12-2 at home, and they have won their last nine games in front of their own fans. They are averaging a scoring margin of +15.7 points per game at home compared to +4.2 on the road.

SMU has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season and they are 6-7-1 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mustangs have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

SMU’s over/under record this season is 12-15 and the average over/under line in their games is 144.2. Today’s line of 159 is higher than the average OU line in their games. So far, 25 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

The SMU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. South Florida. Overall their field goal percentage was 33.8% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Zhuric Phelps, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.6, while Chuck Harris also maintains a PPG average of 13.1 leading up to the game.

In the current season, the SMU defense has excelled, sitting 44th in the nation by allowing 66.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.4 threes per game vs. UTSA. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.7%.