The Miners and Blue Raiders are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Blue Raiders will host the game at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 136 points, and Middle Tennessee is favored by -1.5 to win at home against UTEP.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1.5

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
  • Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Miners Have a Shot at a Road Win?

UTEP will be looking to snap their 8-game road losing streak when they take on Middle Tennessee as 1.5-point underdogs. The Miners are 0-8 on the road this season, compared to 10-4 at home.

UTEP enters this matchup with a 13-12 overall record, including a 4-6 mark in Conference USA. After losing their last game to Western Kentucky, the Miners’ road record this season is 0-10.

On the season, UTEP has an ATS record of 8-13-1 and they are 1-7 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Miners have gone 2-8-1 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the underdog, UTEP has an ATS mark of 2-8. On the road, their ATS record is 1-9 in their last 10 contests.

So far this season, the over/under record for UTEP games is 9-13. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (139.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points.

The UTEP offense is coming off a game in which they scored 80 points vs. Western Kentucky. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.4% while connecting on 8 threes. On the offensive front, the Miners have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 238th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 338th in terms of percentage and 331st in three-pointers made.

The Miners’ defense is presently ranked 101st nationally, allowing an average of 69.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.7 threes per game vs. Middle Tennessee. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.7%.

Will Middle Tennessee Live Up to Expectations at Home?

After winning their last game against New Mexico State, Middle Tennessee State is 10-15 on the season and 4-6 in Conference USA games. They have won their last two games and are 7-5 this season as the favorite.

At home this season, the Blue Raiders have a record of 7-6, and their average scoring margin is +1.8 points per game. Over their last three games at home, they are 3-0.

As the favorite this season, Middle Tennessee has gone 6-6 against the spread. Their overall ATS record is just 7-16. However, the Blue Raiders have been better vs. the spread at home, going 6-7. Their ATS mark at home over their last three games is 3-0 and 4-5 over their last 10.

So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 8-13-2. The average over/under line in their games is 134.3 and the average point total in their games is 131.5. Today’s over/under line of 136 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

The Middle Tennessee offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against New Mexico State. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.2% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Jestin Porter, who holds an average of 13.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Elias King is averaging 12.8 points per game this season.

So far, the Blue Raiders’ defense is ranked 84th in the country at 68.1 points per contest. Middle Tennessee’s three-point defense is currently 27th in the country at 5.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Middle Tennessee.