The Miners and Flames are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flames will host the game at Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 137 points, and Liberty is favored by -10 to win at home against UTEP.


The Pick: UTEP Miners +10

This game will be played at Liberty Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flames.
  • Even though we have Liberty winning straight-up, we like UTEP at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Miners Offense Score Enough in Lynchburg?

UTEP enters this game as a 10-point underdog, and they have gone 1-13 as the underdog this season. So far, they are 14-15 overall and 5-9 in Conference USA.

On the road, the Miners have struggled, going just 1-9, and their average scoring margin away from home is -8.9 points per game. Their last win came against Jacksonville State by a score of 72-65.

Against the spread this season, UTEP has gone 9-16-1. On the road, their ATS record is 2-8 and they have gone 3-10-1 vs. the spread as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in UTEP’s games this year (139.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points compared to their season average of 138.6 points per game. So far this year, their over/under record is 11-15.

In their most recent game, the Miners’ offense tallied 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73 points per game. Otis Frazier III was the leading scorer for the Miners, putting up 24 points. In addition, Derick Hamilton contributed 12 points.

At this time, the Miners’ defense is positioned 103rd in the country, permitting 69.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Liberty. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.4%.

Can the Liberty Offense Score Enough at Home?

Liberty has been much better at home this season, going 12-4 compared to just 2-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.4, and they have won five straight games at home.

With their win over New Mexico State, Liberty moved to 17-11 overall. They are 14-8 when favored this season, and they have been favored in 22 of their 28 games.

As the favorite, Liberty has gone 12-10 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flames have a mark of just 4-6. At home, Liberty is 11-5 ATS this year and they have gone 5-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 home contests. Overall, the Flames have an ATS record of 12-13 this season.

So far this season, the over/under record for Liberty games sits at 14-10-1, and today’s over/under line of 137 is slightly below the average over/under line in their games (137.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, and this season, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 137.

Liberty is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 83 points vs. New Mexico State. This figure is more than their season average of 75.4 points per game. For the season, the Liberty offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 355th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

In the current season, the Liberty defense has excelled, sitting 21st in the nation by allowing 64.8 points per game. Against New Mexico State, the Flames’ defense gave up 58 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, New Mexico State only made 7 free-throws.