Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wolverines versus the Lumberjacks? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, TX. This Western Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 140.5 points, and Stephen F. Austin is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. Utah Valley.


The Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -6.5

This game will be played at Johnson Coliseum at 7:30 ET on Thursday, February 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
  • Not only will Stephen F. Austin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Are the Wolverines Ready for a Win at Nacogdoches?

Utah Valley is 2-9 on the road this season, and they have lost eight straight games away from home. They are coming off a 62-61 loss to Seattle and have gone 1-9 in their last 10 road games.

As an underdog, the Wolverines are 4-10 this year, and they have gone 9-11 overall. They are 4-5 in Western Athletic Conference games and 5-6 outside of their conference.

Utah Valley has an overall ATS record of 10-7-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-5-1. As the underdog, the Wolverines are 7-6-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Utah Valley has gone 5-4-1.

Utah Valley’s over/under record this season is 8-10 and the average scoring total in their games is 137.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (139.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

Most recently, the Utah Valley offense finished with just 61 points vs. Seattle. For the game, they hit 6/18 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 47.2%. One area that the Utah Valley offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 27th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 42%.

At this time, the Wolverines’ defense is positioned 115th in the country, permitting 69.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.3 threes per game vs. Stephen F. Austin. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.

Does Stephen F. Austin Stand a Chance at Home?

Stephen F. Austin enters this game as a 6.5-point favorite, and they have gone 8-5 this season when favored. So far, the Lumberjacks are 12-8 overall, including a 6-5 record at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, Stephen F. Austin has gone 5-5, and they are coming off a two-point loss to California Baptist. On the season, they have a scoring differential of +4.3 points per game at home.

Stephen F. Austin has an ATS record of just 6-12 this season and they have gone just 4-9 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lumberjacks have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Stephen F. Austin is 11-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 146.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.2) and there have been more games with more points than today’s OU line (12) than games with fewer points (6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 145 points.

Stephen F. Austin’s offense had a good outing, putting up 79 points against California Baptist. They achieved a 52% field goal percentage and went 21/29 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Lumberjacks was Latrell Jossell with 23 points, while AJ Cajuste also chipped in with 16 points.

At this time, the Lumberjacks’ defense is positioned 133rd in the country, permitting 70.6 points per game. Stephen F. Austin’s three-point defense is currently 58th in the country at 6.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.4% of their shots vs. Stephen F. Austin.