Utah State at Fresno State College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Utah State Aggies (+4) are making a trip west to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs at Bulldog Stadium. This key MWC matchup kicks off at 7:00 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network is scheduled to have the TV rights.

Utah State at Fresno State Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Fresno State is giving up 4 points in this MWC game. The Aggies are currently being given +155 moneyline odds while the Bulldogs are -175. This MWC game should offer several live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 59 points.

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This game’s line opened at -3. The over/under hasn’t moved since it was set initially at 59.

The Aggies are 4-4 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Bulldogs are 4-4 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play. The Aggies have lost 2.5 units so far and are 4-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.

The disappointing Bulldogs have lost 6.9 units this season. The team is 3-4-1 ATS and six of its games have gone over the total.

These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to play each other in 2018.

The Aggies look to get back on track after a 42-14 defeat to BYU last week. The passing game the big culprit Jordan Love completed 29 passes for 394 yards, one score and three interceptions. Gerold Bright (66 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Love (17 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running attack. Jordan Nathan (seven receptions, 133 yards) and Siaosi Mariner (five catches, 86 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

The Fresno State Bulldogs just picked up a 41-38 win over Hawaii. The team’s defense allowed the Rainbow Warriors to pass for 346 yards while rushing for 209 yards and four scores. Cedric Byrd II had a good showing in the loss for Hawaii, posting 97 yards and a score on eight catches. For Fresno State, Jorge Reyna completed 17-of-27 passes for 188 yards and one touchdown. Ronnie Rivers (103 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Reyna (96 yards on 11 carries) handled the running attack while Zane Pope (five receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Jared Rice (four catches, 46 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Utah State has run the ball on 46.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Fresno State has a rush percentage of 50.3 percent. The Aggies have produced 154 rush yards/game (including 145 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bulldogs are logging 181 rush yards per contest (199 in conference) and have 20 total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Aggies should hold an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has allowed only 10 sacks while their D-line logged 32 sacks. The Bulldogs O-line has given up 12 sacks and their defense has created only 24 sacks.

The Aggies have tallied 266 yards per game through the air overall (196 per game against conference opposition) and have 11 passing TDs so far. The Bulldogs have produced 235 pass yards per outing (215.5 in the MWC) and have 12 total pass scores.

Utah State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 186 yards and pass for 258 yards per game. Fresno State has allowed 165.3 yards per game on the ground and 244.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Bulldogs are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.84 to opponents, while the Aggies have allowed a 6.73 ANY/A.

Love has put up 1,900 pass yards on the year. He’s connected on 162-of-272 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Love’s got a 5.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.11 over the last two games.

For the home team, Jorge Reyna has put up 1,643 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs. Reyna’s ANY/A sits at 6.85 for the season and 4.61 over his last two outings.

Utah State Aggies at Fresno State Bulldogs Free Pick

SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

Fresno State has lost seven fumbles this season while Utah State has lost six.

The Utah State D has 14 sacks on the year while Fresno State has 11.

Utah State has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt across its last three outings and 3.1 over its last two.

Fresno State has averaged 7.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 6.8 over its past two.

Utah State has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 26-point victory over Nevada on October 19th representing the only win over that stretch.

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