Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aggies and Lobos. The game is starting at 10:30 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Lobos at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 156.5 points, with the Lobos being the favored team playing at home against the Aggies.
UTAH STATE AGGIES VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Mexico Lobos -5.5
This game will be played at The Pit at 10:30 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.
WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Lobos.
- Not only will New Mexico pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Do the Aggies Have a Shot at a Road Win?
Utah State is 16-1 on the season and has won 14 straight games, including a 87-86 win over UNLV in their last game. They are 4-0 in Mountain West play and 12-1 in non-conference games.
On the road, the Aggies are 6-1 this season and have won their last six games away from home. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +9.0 points per game on the road.
Utah State has an ATS record of 9-6 this season and they are 4-3 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have gone just 2-7-1 vs. the spread.
Utah State’s over/under record this season sits at 9-6 and the average scoring total in their games is 149.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 144 points. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 154 points.
Coming off a good offensive performance, Utah State’s offense scored 87 points against UNLV. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.2%, and they went 23/25 from the free-throw line. The team’s scoring leader is Great Osobor, who holds an average of 18.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ian Martinez is averaging 13.1 points per game this season.
Currently, the Aggies’ defense holds the 70th rank in the nation, allowing 66.5 points per game. So far, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 6.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (458th).
Is It the Lobos Game to Lose at Home?
So far this season, New Mexico has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 9-0 and winning by an average of 20.2 points per game. They come into this game as the favorites, and they have gone 13-1 when favored this season. Overall, the Lobos have gone 14-3, and they are 2-2 in Mountain West play.
In their last game, New Mexico took down San Diego State by a score of 88-70. Over their last 10 games at home, the Lobos have gone a perfect 10-0, and their record over their last five games at home is 5-0. So far this season, they have gone 12-1 in non-conference games compared to 2-2 in Mountain West play.
As the favorite, New Mexico has an impressive ATS record of 11-3 this season. At home, the Lobos are even better vs. the spread, going 8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, New Mexico is 8-2 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 7-9 and today’s line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (153.5). Over their last three games, their OU record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.
The New Mexico offense is coming off a game where they scored 88 points against San Diego State. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.1% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Donovan Dent, who holds an average of 15.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, JT Toppin is averaging 12.8 points per game this season.
Currently, the Lobos’ defense holds the 93rd rank in the nation, allowing 68.4 points per game. In today’s game vs. Utah State, the New Mexico defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, New Mexico made 21 free-throws vs. the Lobos.