The Aggies and Broncos are set to face off at 4:00 ET on MWN. The Broncos will host the game at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and Boise State is favored by -3 to win at home against Utah State.
UTAH STATE AGGIES VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boise State Broncos -3
This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE BOISE STATE BRONCOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Broncos.
- Not only will Boise State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Aggies Make it Happen on the Road?
Utah State comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been the underdog in just one game this season. The Aggies have been dominant this season, going 17-2 overall and 5-0 in Mountain West play. They have won 15 straight games, including their most recent game against Fresno State, which they won by a score of 83-62.
On the road, Utah State has gone 6-1 this season, and they have won their last six road games. Over their last 10 road games, the Aggies have gone 6-4, and they are 2-1 in their last three.
Utah State has an overall ATS record of 10-6 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-3 and they are 1-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. As the underdog, the Aggies are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 10-6 and the average over/under line in their games is 144. So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 167 points and their over/under record in their last three games is 2-0.
Utah State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Fresno State, finishing the game with a total of 83 points. Their season average is now 82.2 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Great Osobor, who holds an average of 18.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ian Martinez is averaging 13.6 points per game this season.
Currently, the Aggies’ defense holds the 79th rank in the nation, allowing 68.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Utah State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.0% this season.
Can the Broncos Please their Home Crowd?
Boise State has been a much better team at home this season, going 9-2 compared to 4-3 on the road. They come into this game on a two-game win streak, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
On the season, the Broncos have been favored in 11 of their 19 games, going 9-2 in those matchups. They are also 5-1 in Mountain West Conference play, and they have an overall record of 14-5.
Boise State has been right around .500 vs. the spread this season with a 9-9 record. At home, the Broncos are 6-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 home games. As the favorite, Boise State is 5-6 vs. the spread this season and has gone 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as the favorite.
Boise State’s over/under record for the season sits at 9-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 138.3 compared to an average over/under line of 138. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 134 points.
The Broncos’ offense wrapped up their last game with 72 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 73.5 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Chibuzo Agbo, who holds an average of 14.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyson Degenhart is averaging 15.1 points per game this season.
So far this season, the Boise State defense has been performing well, ranking 34th in the country at 65.2 points allowed per contest. The Boise State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Fresno State to connect on 6 threes.