The Utah Jazz (32-24) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they square off against the Golden State Warriors (40-15) at ORACLE Arena. Golden State opened as an 8.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.
Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors Odds Preview
The last time the Jazz played, they won big over the San Antonio Spurs, 125-105, comfortably covering as 8-point favorites. With 21 points and 13 rebounds, Utah’s Rudy Gobert had a good performance. The Jazz held the Spurs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.4 (below their season average of 21.4) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.611 (above their season average of 0.527). The two teams combined to put up 230 points, which finished over the projected point total of 219.5.
Although the Warriors defeated the Miami Heat in their last outing, 120-118, they were unable to cover as 13.5-point favorites. Golden State received a boost from Kevin Durant, who was the top scorer from either team with 39 points on 16-for-24 shooting. Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the contest. They had a free throw rate of 0.232 (above their season average of 0.197) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.616 (above their season average of 0.563). Miami had marks of 0.038 and 0.543, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams collectively scored 238 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 221.
These two teams have met twice already this season, each winning once. Stephen Curry led both teams with 32 points in the most recent game, in which the Warriors lost 108-103, unable to cover as 2-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 211 points, which was 11.5 points below the projected point total of 222.5 points. The Jazz dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.8 and a free throw rate of 0.194. For those same stats, the Warriors were 19.2 and 0.179, respectively.
Of Utah’s 56 games, 29 have finished over the projected point total, while 30 of Golden State’s 55 games have finished over the projected point total. The Warriors have the better straight up (SU) record (40-15 vs. 32-24), but the Jazz hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (28-26-2 vs. 24-30-1).
This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Golden State currently ranks first in offensive efficiency and Utah ranks third in defensive efficiency.
Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
The Warriors rank 13th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Jazz rank 27th (8.6).
Golden State averages 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Utah ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
Utah ranks 15th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while Golden State ranks 28th (42.9).
Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while Golden State ranks sixth (43.4).
Utah is 13-14-1 ATS on the road with 15 overs and 13 unders.
Golden State is 11-16-1 ATS at home with 15 unders and 13 overs.
Golden State is 6-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Utah is 15-3.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Warriors are 40-10 and the Jazz are 30-13.
The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (21.1) while the Warriors rank 14th (24.3).
Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.6) while Golden State ranks 27th (33.5).
The Warriors rank second in fast break points per game (19.7) while the Jazz rank 28th (9.6).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while the Jazz rank eighth (4.7).
Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Golden State ranks 20th (13.9).
Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Utah is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 7.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (5.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (6.6 above their season average).