Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick 01/22/20


The Golden State Warriors (10-35) will be at home in the Chase Center when they take on the Utah Jazz (30-13). Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.

Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors ATS Preview

The Jazz won big over the Indiana Pacers in their last outing, 118-88, comfortably covering as 8-point favorites. With 20 points and 14 rebounds, Rudy Gobert had a good game for Utah. Utah played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.138 (below their season average of 0.212) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.4 (above their season average of 20.5). For those same stats, Indiana was 0.032 and 17.6, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 206 points, which was under the O/U total of 216.

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In the Warriors’ previous matchup, they were blown out by the Portland Trail Blazers, 129-124, but they were able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Alec Burks led Golden State in scoring with 33 points on 11-for-23 shooting. Portland did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (27-30; 90.0 percent). Golden State, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 12.6). The two clubs combined to score 253 points, which was well over the projected point total of 222.

These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Jazz winning all three. In the most recent game, Gobert had 15 points and 15 rebounds and the Jazz beat the Warriors 114-106 but could not cover as 14-point favorites. The two teams combined to put up 220 points, which was 8.5 points above the projected point total of 211.5 points. One of Utah’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 31 trips to the line, while Golden State went 22 times.

Of Utah’s 43 games, 22 have finished over the projected point total, while 26 of Golden State’s 45 games have finished under the projected point total. The Jazz have the better straight up (SU) record (30-13 vs. 10-35) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (22-19-2 vs. 21-23-1).

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Jazz, it’s been Gobert, who has averaged 21 points,14.8 rebounds,3.0 blocks, while the Warriors have gotten solid contributions from D’Angelo Russell (25 points,7.8 assists).

The offense of Golden State will square off against the stingy defense of Utah. The Warriors rank 29th in offensive efficiency, while the Jazz are eighth in defensive efficiency. The Jazz should have the advantage on that side of the ball. Ball security could be troublesome for the Jazz. They rank 24th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent), while the Warriors force the third-most turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.6 percent).

Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.9) while the Warriors rank 24th (25.2).

Utah ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (48.0) while Golden State ranks last (42.9).

Golden State ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while Utah ranks 28th (14.8).

Golden State ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.5) while Utah ranks 26th (4.1).

On the road, Utah is 11-11-1 ATS with 12 unders and 11 overs.

At home, Golden State is 10-11-1 ATS with 14 unders and 8 overs.

Golden State is 5-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Utah is 11-1.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 10-22 and the Jazz are 29-8.

The Jazz rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while the Warriors rank 23rd (13.9).

Golden State ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while Utah ranks 29th (6.0).

The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (30.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (35.2).

The Warriors rank 13th in fast break points per game (13.3) while the Jazz rank 27th (10.3).

Utah ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while Golden State ranks 27th (47.3).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Utah is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 7.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 123.6 points per game (12.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (4.0 above their season average).

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