Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Mavericks versus the Vaqueros? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, TX. UT Arlington is favored by -8 in this Western Athletic conference matchup the against Texas-Rio Grande Valley. The over/under for the game is set at 154.5 points.


The Pick: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +8

This game will be played at UTRGV Fieldhouse at 7:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Vaqueros.
  • Not only will Texas-Rio Grande Valley pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will UT Arlington Win on the Road?

UT Arlington will look to bounce back from an 80-78 loss to Tarleton State when they take on Texas-Rio Grande Valley. The Mavericks have gone 3-7 in their last 10 road games and are 3-10 on the road this season.

Overall, UT Arlington is 12-13 this season and 7-7 in Western Athletic Conference play. They have gone 9-3 when favored this season.

When looking at UT Arlington’s ATS record this season, they are currently 16-7. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mavericks have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UT Arlington games is 14-9 and the average over/under line in their games is 145.5. Today’s line of 154.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year and there have been more games with lower points than today’s line (16) than games with more points (7). In their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks’ offense tallied 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.8 points per game. Offensively, the Mavericks have a season long field goal percentage of 42%, which is 319th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 278th in percentage and 78th in three-pointers made.

On the defensive side, UT Arlington is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 73.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UT Arlington’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.6% this season.

Does Texas-Rio Grande Valley Have What it Takes at Home?

Through 24 games this season, the Vaqueros have a record of 6-18, including a 2-11 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. They have lost seven straight games and are 3-17 as the underdog this season.

At home, Texas-Rio Grande Valley is 3-9 this season, and they have lost three straight games. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone just 3-7.

As the underdog, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has gone 9-11 against the spread this season. Their ATS mark is 9-13 overall, and they have gone 4-8 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Vaqueros are 4-6 and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Texas-Rio Grande Valley games is 12-10 and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (151.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Texas-Rio Grande Valley’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 79 points against Abilene Christian. They had an overall field goal percentage of 47.4% and made 22/30 free throws. One area that the Texas-Rio Grande Valley offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 5th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 42%.

So far, the Vaqueros’ defense is ranked 321st in the country at 80.1 points per contest. So far, the Texas-Rio Grande Valley defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.2 times per game (701st).